Pricing climate transition risk: Evidence from European corporate CDS
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108248
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to
for a different version of it.References listed on IDEAS
- Emirhan Ilhan & Philipp Krueger & Zacharias Sautner & Laura T Starks, 2023. "Climate Risk Disclosure and Institutional Investors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(7), pages 2617-2650.
- Zacharias Sautner & Laurence Van Lent & Grigory Vilkov & Ruishen Zhang, 2023. "Firm‐Level Climate Change Exposure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1449-1498, June.
- Thuy Thi Thu Truong & Jungmu Kim, 2019. "Do Corporate Social Responsibility Activities Reduce Credit Risk? Short and Long-Term Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-16, December.
- Nordhaus, William D, 1991. "To Slow or Not to Slow: The Economics of the Greenhouse Effect," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(407), pages 920-937, July.
- Monasterolo, Irene & de Angelis, Luca, 2020. "Blind to carbon risk? An analysis of stock market reaction to the Paris Agreement," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
- Oestreich, A. Marcel & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2015.
"Carbon emissions and stock returns: Evidence from the EU Emissions Trading Scheme,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 294-308.
- A. Marcel Oestreich & Ilias Tsiakas, 2015. "Carbon Emissions and Stock Returns: Evidence from the EU Emissions Trading Scheme," Working Paper series 15-18, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Baiardi, Donatella & Morana, Claudio, 2021.
"Climate change awareness: Empirical evidence for the European Union,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Donatella Baiardi & Claudio Morana, 2020. "Climate change awareness: Empirical evidence for the European Union," Working Paper series 20-15, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Nov 2020.
- Donatella Baiardi & Claudio Morana, 2020. "Climate change awareness: Empirical evidence for the European Union," Working Papers 426, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2021.
- Monica Billio & Michele Costola & Iva Hristova & Carmelo Latino & Loriana Pelizzon, 2021.
"Inside the ESG ratings: (Dis)agreement and performance,"
Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(5), pages 1426-1445, September.
- Monica Billio & Michele Costola & Iva Histova & Carmelo Latino & Loriana Pelizzon, 2020. "Inside the ESG Ratings: (Dis)agreement and performance," Working Papers 2020:17, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Billio, Monica & Costola, Michele & Hristova, Iva & Latino, Carmelo & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2020. "Inside the ESG ratings: (Dis)agreement and performance," SAFE Working Paper Series 284, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Gao, Feng & Li, Yubin & Wang, Xinjie & Zhong, Zhaodong (Ken), 2021. "Corporate social responsibility and the term structure of CDS spreads," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Bolton, Patrick & Kacperczyk, Marcin, 2021.
"Do investors care about carbon risk?,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 517-549.
- Kacperczyk, Marcin & Bolton, Patrick, 2020. "Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14568, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Patrick Bolton & Marcin Kacperczyk, 2020. "Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk?," NBER Working Papers 26968, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2022. "Carbon emission and credit default swaps," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Ugolini, Andrea & Reboredo, Juan C. & Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier, 2024.
"Is climate transition risk priced into corporate credit risk? Evidence from credit default swaps,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
- Andrea Ugolini & Juan C. Reboredo & Javier Ojea-Ferreiro, 2023. "Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps," Working Papers 2023.04, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Andrea Ugolini & Juan C. Reboredo & Javier Ojea-Ferreiro, 2023. "Is climate transition risk priced into corporate credit risk? Evidence from credit default swaps," Working Papers 509, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
- Andrea Ugolini & Juan C. Reboredo & Javier Ojea Ferreiro, 2023. "Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps," Staff Working Papers 23-38, Bank of Canada.
- Ugolini, Andrea & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier, 2023. "Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps," FEEM Working Papers 330720, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Patrick Augustin & Yehuda Izhakian & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Ambiguity, Volatility, and Credit Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(4), pages 1618-1672.
- Ehlers, Torsten & Packer, Frank & de Greiff, Kathrin, 2022.
"The pricing of carbon risk in syndicated loans: Which risks are priced and why?,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Torsten Ehlers & Frank Packer & Kathrin de Greiff, 2022. "The pricing of carbon risk in syndicated loans: which risks are priced and why?," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Statistics for Sustainable Finance, volume 56, Bank for International Settlements.
- Torsten Ehlers & Frank Packer & Kathrin de Greiff, 2021. "The pricing of carbon risk in syndicated loans: which risks are priced and why?," BIS Working Papers 946, Bank for International Settlements.
- Ralf Martin & Mirabelle Mu?ls & Laure B. de Preux & Ulrich J. Wagner, 2014.
"Industry Compensation under Relocation Risk: A Firm-Level Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(8), pages 2482-2508, August.
- Ralf Martin & Mirabelle Mu�ls & Laure B. de Preux & Ulrich J. Wagner, 2012. "Industry compensation under relocation risk: a firm-level analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme," GRI Working Papers 85, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
- Martin, Ralf & Muuls, Mirabelle & de Preux, Laure B. & Wagner, Ulrich J., 2014. "Industry compensation under relocation risk: a firm-level analysis of the EU emissions trading scheme," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 59312, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ralf Martin & Mirabelle Muûls & Laure B. de Preux & Ulrich J. Wagner, 2013. "Industry Compensation Under Relocation Risk: A Firm-Level Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme," NBER Working Papers 19097, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ralf Martin & Mirabelle Muûls & Ulrich J. Wagner & Laure B. de Preux, 2012. "Industry Compensation Under Relocation Risk: A Firm-Level Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme," CEP Discussion Papers dp1150, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Danilo Drago & Concetta Carnevale & Raffaele Gallo, 2019. "Do corporate social responsibility ratings affect credit default swap spreads?," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(3), pages 644-652, May.
- Blasberg, Alexander & Kiesel, Rüdiger & Taschini, Luca, 2023.
"Carbon default swap – disentangling the exposure to carbon risk through CDS,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
118092, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Blasberg, Alexander & Kiesel, Rüdiger & Taschini, Luca, 2023. "Carbon default swap – disentangling the exposure to carbon risk through CDS," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118096, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Christian Gollier, 2020.
"Les entreprises et la finance face à leurs responsabilités climatiques,"
Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(2), pages 89-104.
- Christian Gollier, 2020. "Les entreprises et la finance face à leurs responsabilités climatiques," Post-Print hal-03152018, HAL.
- Stefano Battiston & Antoine Mandel & Irene Monasterolo & Franziska Schütze & Gabriele Visentin, 2017.
"A climate stress-test of the financial system,"
Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(4), pages 283-288, April.
- Stefano Battiston & Antoine Mandel & Irene Monasterolo & Franziska Schütze & Gabriele Visentin, 2017. "A climate stress-test of the financial system," Post-Print halshs-01905999, HAL.
- Stefano Battiston & Antoine Mandel & Irene Monasterolo & Franziska Schütze & Gabriele Visentin, 2017. "A climate stress-test of the financial system," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01905999, HAL.
- Stefano Battiston & Antoine Mandel & Irene Monasterolo & Franziska Schütze & Gabriele Visentin, 2017. "A climate stress-test of the financial system," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01905999, HAL.
- Carbone, Sante & Giuzio, Margherita & Kapadia, Sujit & Krämer, Johannes Sebastian & Nyholm, Ken & Vozian, Katia, 2021.
"The low-carbon transition, climate commitments and firm credit risk,"
Working Paper Series
2631, European Central Bank.
- Carbone, Sante & Giuzio, Margherita & Kapadia, Sujit & Krämer, Johannes Sebastian & Nyholm, Ken & Vozian, Katia, 2022. "The low-carbon transition, climate commitments and firm credit risk," Working Paper Series 409, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi & Takaoka, Sumiko, 2024. "Credit default swaps and corporate carbon emissions in Japan," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Manac, Radu-Dragomir & Banti, Chiara & Kellard, Neil, 2024. "How does standardization affect OTC markets in the long term? Evidence from the small bang reform in the CDS market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Florian Berg & Julian F Kölbel & Roberto Rigobon, 2022. "Aggregate Confusion: The Divergence of ESG Ratings [Corporate social responsibility and firm risk: theory and empirical evidence]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(6), pages 1315-1344.
- Marlene Amstad & Frank Packer, 2015. "Sovereign ratings of advanced and emerging economies after the crisis," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
- David M. Arseneau & Mitsuhiro Osada, 2023. "Central Bank Mandates and Communication about Climate Change: Evidence from A Large Dataset of Central Bank Speeches," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 23-E-14, Bank of Japan.
- Louis Daumas, 2024. "Financial stability, stranded assets and the low‐carbon transition – A critical review of the theoretical and applied literatures," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(3), pages 601-716, July.
- Dirk Tasche, .
"The art of probability-of-default curve calibration,"
Journal of Credit Risk, Journal of Credit Risk.
- Dirk Tasche, 2012. "The art of probability-of-default curve calibration," Papers 1212.3716, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2013.
- Gregor Semieniuk & Emanuele Campiglio & Jean‐Francois Mercure & Ulrich Volz & Neil R. Edwards, 2021.
"Low‐carbon transition risks for finance,"
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(1), January.
- Gregor Semieniuk & Emanuele Campiglio & Jean-Francois Mercure & Ulrich Volz & Neil R. Edwards, 2020. "Low-carbon transition risks for finance," Working Papers 233, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
- Bento, Nuno & Gianfrate, Gianfranco, 2020. "Determinants of internal carbon pricing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Galil, Koresh & Shapir, Offer Moshe & Amiram, Dan & Ben-Zion, Uri, 2014.
"The determinants of CDS spreads,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 271-282.
- Koresh Galil & Offer Moshe Shapir & Dan Amiram & Uri Ben-Zion, 2013. "The Determinants Of Cds Spreads," Working Papers 1318, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
- Grundmann, Justus & Silberbach, Anna & Auria, Laura, 2023. "Including carbon taxation risk in Deutsche Bundesbank's in-house credit assessment system (ICAS): An empirical analysis," Technical Papers 02/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Emanuele Campiglio & Yannis Dafermos & Pierre Monnin & Josh Ryan-Collins & Guido Schotten & Misa Tanaka, 2018.
"Climate change challenges for central banks and financial regulators,"
Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(6), pages 462-468, June.
- Campiglio, Emanuele & Dafermos, Yannis & Monnin, Pierre & Ryan-Collins, Josh & Schotten, Guido & Tanaka, Misa, 2018. "Climate change challenges for central banks and financial regulators," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 88364, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Zacharias Sautner & Laurence van Lent & Grigory Vilkov & Ruishen Zhang, 2023. "Pricing Climate Change Exposure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7540-7561, December.
- Lee H. Seltzer & Laura Starks & Qifei Zhu, 2022.
"Climate Regulatory Risk and Corporate Bonds,"
NBER Working Papers
29994, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lee Seltzer & Laura Starks & Qifei Zhu, 2022. "Climate Regulatory Risks and Corporate Bonds," Staff Reports 1014, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- André Höck & Christian Klein & Alexander Landau & Bernhard Zwergel, 2020. "The effect of environmental sustainability on credit risk," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(2), pages 85-93, March.
- Patrick Augustin & Yehuda Izhakian & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Ambiguity, Volatility, and Credit Risk," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 33(4), pages 1618-1672.
- Safiullah, Md & Kabir, Md. Nurul & Miah, Mohammad Dulal, 2021. "Carbon emissions and credit ratings," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Brouwers, Roel & Schoubben, Frederiek & Van Hulle, Cynthia & Van Uytbergen, Steve, 2016. "The initial impact of EU ETS verification events on stock prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 138-149.
- Alogoskoufis, Spyros & Dunz, Nepomuk & Emambakhsh, Tina & Hennig, Tristan & Kaijser, Michiel & Kouratzoglou, Charalampos & Muñoz, Manuel A. & Parisi, Laura & Salleo, Carmelo, 2021. "ECB’s economy-wide climate stress test," Occasional Paper Series 281, European Central Bank.
- Kabir, Md Nurul & Rahman, Sohanur & Rahman, Md Arifur & Anwar, Mumtaheena, 2021. "Carbon emissions and default risk: International evidence from firm-level data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Ugolini, Andrea & Reboredo, Juan C. & Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier, 2024.
"Is climate transition risk priced into corporate credit risk? Evidence from credit default swaps,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
- Andrea Ugolini & Juan C. Reboredo & Javier Ojea-Ferreiro, 2023. "Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps," Working Papers 2023.04, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Andrea Ugolini & Juan C. Reboredo & Javier Ojea-Ferreiro, 2023. "Is climate transition risk priced into corporate credit risk? Evidence from credit default swaps," Working Papers 509, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
- Andrea Ugolini & Juan C. Reboredo & Javier Ojea Ferreiro, 2023. "Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps," Staff Working Papers 23-38, Bank of Canada.
- Ugolini, Andrea & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier, 2023. "Is Climate Transition Risk Priced into Corporate Credit Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swaps," FEEM Working Papers 330720, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Matilde Faralli & Francesco Ruggiero, 2025. "The Rise of Climate Risks: Evidence from Firms' Expected Default Frequencies," Mercati, infrastrutture, sistemi di pagamento (Markets, Infrastructures, Payment Systems) 62, Bank of Italy, Directorate General for Markets and Payment System.
- Helena Redondo & Elisa Aracil, 2024. "Climate‐related credit risk: Rethinking the credit risk framework," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 15(S1), pages 21-33, March.
- Marcinkowska, Monika & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Charteris, Ailie & Gajdka, Jerzy & Obojska, Lidia & Szczygielski, Jan Jakub, 2025. "Sustainability, energy finance and the role of central banks: A review of current insights and future research directions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Blasberg, Alexander & Kiesel, Rüdiger & Taschini, Luca, 2023.
"Carbon default swap – disentangling the exposure to carbon risk through CDS,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
118096, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Blasberg, Alexander & Kiesel, Rüdiger & Taschini, Luca, 2023. "Carbon default swap – disentangling the exposure to carbon risk through CDS," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118092, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Meles, Antonio & Salerno, Dario & Sampagnaro, Gabriele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo & Zhang, Jianing, 2023. "The influence of green innovation on default risk: Evidence from Europe," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 692-710.
- Fliegel, Philip, 2025. "“Brown” Risk or “Green” Opportunity? The dynamic pricing of climate transition risk on global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
- Alessi, Lucia & Battiston, Stefano, 2022.
"Two sides of the same coin: Green Taxonomy alignment versus transition risk in financial portfolios,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Alessi, Lucia & Battiston, Stefano, 2021. "Two sides of the same coin: Green Taxonomy alignment versus transition risk in financial portfolios," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2021-14, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Alessi, Lucia & Ossola, Elisa & Panzica, Roberto, 2023.
"When do investors go green? Evidence from a time-varying asset-pricing model,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Alessi, Lucia & Elisa, Ossola & Panzica, Roberto, 2021. "When do investors go green? Evidence from a time-varying asset-pricing model," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2021-13, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Yang, Junqi & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2025. "Dissecting the financial impact of climate risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Daniel Ramos-García & Carmen López-Martín & Raquel Arguedas-Sanz, 2023. "Climate transition risk in determining credit risk: evidence from firms listed on the STOXX Europe 600 index," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2091-2114, November.
- Rahman, Sohanur, 2024. "The importance of green patents for CDS pricing: The role of environmental disclosures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Chen, Yiyang & Mamon, Rogemar & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2025. "Stock market returns and climate risk in the U.S," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Hao Zhao & Chuanqing Wu & Yang Wen, 2023. "Determinants of Corporate Fossil Energy Assets Impairment and Measurement of Stranded Assets Risk," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-14, August.
- He, Feng & Ren, Xingzi & Wang, Yueren & Lei, Xingfan, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate bond credit spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Nguyen, Harvey & Pham, Anh Viet & Pham, Man Duy (Marty) & Pham, Mia Hang, 2025. "Climate change and corporate credit worthiness: International evidence," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- repec:ces:ceswps:_10016 is not listed on IDEAS
- Gourdel, Régis & Sydow, Matthias, 2022. "Non-banks contagion and the uneven mitigation of climate risk," Working Paper Series 2757, European Central Bank.
- Birindelli, Giuliana & Miazza, Aline & Paimanova, Viktoriia & Palea, Vera, 2023. "Just “blah blah blah”? Stock market expectations and reactions to COP26," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Huang, Shupei & Wang, Xinya & Xue, Yi & Zhang, Xinzhi, 2025. "CEOS’ climate risk perception bias and corporate debt structure," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Giulia Livieri & Davide Radi & Elia Smaniotto, 2023. "Pricing Transition Risk with a Jump-Diffusion Credit Risk Model: Evidences from the CDS market," Papers 2303.12483, arXiv.org.
More about this item
Keywords
; ; ; ; ; ;JEL classification:
- G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
- G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
- Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
- D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:143:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325000714. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.