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A general semiparametric approach to inference with marker-dependent hazard rate models

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  • van den Berg, Gerard. J.
  • Janys, Lena
  • Mammen, Enno
  • Nielsen, Jens Perch

Abstract

We examine a new general class of hazard rate models for duration data, containing a parametric and a nonparametric component. Both can be a mix of a time effect and possibly time-dependent covariate effects. A number of well-known models are special cases. In a counting process framework, a general profile likelihood estimator is developed and the parametric component of the model is shown to be asymptotically normal and efficient. Finite sample properties are investigated in simulations. The estimator is applied to investigate the long-run relationship between birth weight and later-life mortality.

Suggested Citation

  • van den Berg, Gerard. J. & Janys, Lena & Mammen, Enno & Nielsen, Jens Perch, 2021. "A general semiparametric approach to inference with marker-dependent hazard rate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 43-67.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:221:y:2021:i:1:p:43-67
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.05.025
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    1. Bijwaard Govert E. & Ridder Geert & Woutersen Tiemen, 2013. "A Simple GMM Estimator for the Semiparametric Mixed Proportional Hazard Model," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-23, July.
    2. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Peter Diamond, 1994. "Ranking, Unemployment Duration, and Wages," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(3), pages 417-434.
    3. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell, 2018. "On the Effect of Bias Estimation on Coverage Accuracy in Nonparametric Inference," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 767-779, April.
    4. Van den Berg, Gerard & Modin, Bitte, 2013. "Economic Conditions at Birth, Birth Weight, Ability, and the Causal Path to Cardiovascular Mortality," CEPR Discussion Papers 9650, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Hausman, Jerry A. & Woutersen, Tiemen, 2014. "Estimating a semi-parametric duration model without specifying heterogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 114-131.
    6. Wolter, James Lewis, 2016. "Kernel estimation of hazard functions when observations have dependent and common covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 1-16.
    7. Nielsen, Jens P. & Linton, Oliver & Bickel, Peter J., 1998. "On a semiparametric survival model with flexible covariate effect," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 301, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Geert Ridder & Tiemen M. Woutersen, 2003. "The Singularity of the Information Matrix of the Mixed Proportional Hazard Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1579-1589, September.
    9. Enno Mammen & Jens Perch Nielsen, 2007. "A General Approach to the Predictability Issue in Survival Analysis with Applications," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 94(4), pages 873-892.
    10. Jens Perch Nielsen & Carsten Tanggaard, 2001. "Boundary and Bias Correction in Kernel Hazard Estimation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 28(4), pages 675-698, December.
    11. Douglas Almond & Janet Currie, 2011. "Killing Me Softly: The Fetal Origins Hypothesis," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 25(3), pages 153-172, Summer.
    12. Spierdijk, Laura, 2008. "Nonparametric conditional hazard rate estimation: A local linear approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(5), pages 2419-2434, January.
    13. Bearse, Peter & Canals-Cerdá, José & Rilstone, Paul, 2007. "Efficient Semiparametric Estimation Of Duration Models With Unobserved Heterogeneity," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 281-308, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covariate effects; Duration analysis; Kernel estimation; Mortality; Semiparametric estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies

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