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Can price limits help when the price is falling? Evidence from transactions data on the Shanghai Stock Exchange

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  • Wong, Woon K.
  • Liu, Bo
  • Zeng, Yong

Abstract

We use transactions data to explore the magnet effects of price limit rules on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SHSE). When limit hits are imminent, stock prices are found to approach the price limits at faster rates, with higher trading intensity and larger price variation, supporting the magnet effect hypothesis of Subrahmanyam [Subrahmanyam, A., 1994. Circuit breakers and market volatility: A theoretical perspective. Journal of Finance, 49, 237-254.]. Moreover, when stock prices approach the floor limits, we observe lower than normal market conditions' trading volume and trade size but a wider spread. The panic selling psychology of individual investors for fear of illiquidity and the strategic trading decisions of discretionary traders during periods prior to price limit hits at the floors are conjectured as possible explanations for the observed price behaviors. Post-limit-hit analysis reveals evidence of delayed price discovery at the ceiling limit but price reversal at the floor.

Suggested Citation

  • Wong, Woon K. & Liu, Bo & Zeng, Yong, 2009. "Can price limits help when the price is falling? Evidence from transactions data on the Shanghai Stock Exchange," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 91-102, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:20:y:2009:i:1:p:91-102
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Halim DABBOU & Ahmed SILEM, 2014. "Price Limit and Financial Contagion: Protection or Illusion? The Tunisian Stock Exchange Case," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(1), pages 54-70.
    2. Gao-Feng Gu & Xiong Xiong & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei Zhang & Yong-Jie Zhang & Wei Chen & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2017. "An empirical behavioural order-driven model with price limit rules," Papers 1704.04354, arXiv.org.
    3. Kenneth A. Kim & Haixiao Liu & J. Jimmy Yang, 2013. "Reconsidering Price Limit Effectiveness," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 36(4), pages 493-518, December.
    4. repec:eee:empfin:v:44:y:2017:i:c:p:1-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Chong, Terence Tai-Leung & Lam, Tau-Hing & Yan, Isabel Kit-Ming, 2012. "Is the Chinese stock market really inefficient?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 122-137.
    6. Li, Huimin & Zheng, Dazhi & Chen, Jun, 2014. "Effectiveness, cause and impact of price limit—Evidence from China's cross-listed stocks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 217-241.
    7. Wu, Ting & Wang, Yue & Li, Ming-Xia, 2017. "Post-hit dynamics of price limit hits in the Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 464-471.
    8. Yu-Lei Wan & Wen-Jie Xie & Gao-Feng Gu & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei Chen & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2015. "Statistical Properties and Pre-hit Dynamics of Price Limit Hits in the Chinese Stock Markets," Papers 1503.03548, arXiv.org.

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