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Output Volatility and Exchange Rate Considerations Under Inflation Targeting : A Review

Author

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  • Marjan Petreski

    (School of Business Economics and Management, University of American College Skopje, Macedonia.)

Abstract

The objective of the paper is to offer a critique on the theoretical and empirical literature on inflation targeting (IT). It seems to exist a consensus in the theoretical literature that this monetary regime reduces both inflation and output volatility, mainly through building monetary policy credibility. When the role of the exchange rate is discussed, while there are some arguments that, as an instrument, it should not be explicitly stated in the central-bank loss function, theoretical arguments and evidence are still mixed as regards the effectiveness of exchange-rate management under IT. On the empirical front, the paper concludes that despite the fact that the work on IT in the last two decades has been immense in quality and quantity, still there is no quantitatively-credible study for the developing world, let alone a study that appropriately measures the regime switch from one monetary strategy to another.

Suggested Citation

  • Marjan Petreski, 2012. "Output Volatility and Exchange Rate Considerations Under Inflation Targeting : A Review," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(4), pages 528-537.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2012-04-16
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Özcan, 2016. "Economical Expectation Theories with Quantitative Aspects: Case of Turkey and Kazakhstan," Eurasian Academy Of Sciences Social Sciences Journal, Eurasian Academy Of Sciences, vol. 7(7), pages 50-73, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation targeting; Output volatility; Exchange rate; Trade-off; DSGE;

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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