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The regional pricing of risk: An empirical investigation of the MENA Region

Author

Listed:
  • Khaled Khaled

    (Environment, Climate Change and Energy Transition Chair - IPAG Business School Paris)

  • Amel Belanes

    (University of Jeddah, Saudi Arabia and ESSEC High Institute of Management, University of Tunis and)

  • Sandrine Kablan

    (University of Paris Est Creteil, France)

Abstract

Using a sample of five-MENA emerging countries (Egypt, Tunisia, Morocco, Jordan, and Turkey) during the period 1996-2013, this study highlights the main factors that might influence regional integration of stock markets. We propose an advantageous econometric approach based on a conditional version of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) to explore major sources of time-varying risks. We specifically apply the multivariate BEKK-GARCH process to simultaneously estimate the ICAPM for each country. The study puts in evidence that inflation, volatility of exchange rates, yield spread, current account deficit, dividend yield and economic growth are among the key determinants of regional integration in the MENA context whatever is the measure of exchange rate risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Khaled Khaled & Amel Belanes & Sandrine Kablan, 2018. "The regional pricing of risk: An empirical investigation of the MENA Region," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 751-760.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-17-00990
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multivariate GARCH; regional integration; ICAPM;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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