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Stock Market Integration and Risk Premium: Empirical Evidence for Emerging Economies of South Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Ilyes Abid

  • Khaled Guesmi

  • Olfa Kaabia

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This article investigates the dynamics of regional financial integration and its determinants in an international setting. We test a conditional version of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) accounting for the deviations from Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) as well as temporal variations in both regional and local sources of risk. Using data from five major South Asian markets (Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Indonesia, and Sri Lanka), our results support the validity of an ICAPM and indicate that the risk is regionally priced. Furthermore, we show that changes in the degree of regional stock market integration are explained principally by the U.S. term premium, and the level of market openness, whatever the measure of currency risk. Finally, and as expected, the degree of stock market integration varies considerably over time and from one market to another. As intense market integration induces both benefits and risks, our findings should have significant implications for economic policies and market regulations in emerging, frontier-emerging and transition countries, particularly for countries from the same region.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Ilyes Abid & Khaled Guesmi & Olfa Kaabia, 2014. "Stock Market Integration and Risk Premium: Empirical Evidence for Emerging Economies of South Asia," Post-Print hal-01410604, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01410604
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Kefei You, 2021. "Global and Regional Financial Integration in Emerging Asia: Evidence from Stock Markets," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 36(2), pages 185-202.
    2. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-462 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Qin, Weiping & Cho, Sungjun & Hyde, Stuart, 2023. "Time-varying bond market integration and the impact of financial crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    4. Wu, Fei, 2020. "Stock market integration in East and Southeast Asia: The role of global factors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Narayan, Seema & Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2021. "Can home-biased investors diversify interregionally in the long run?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 167-181.
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Kefei You, 2017. "Stock Market Integration in Asia: Global or Regional? Evidence from Industry Level Panel Convergence Tests," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1669, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    7. Khaled Guesmi & Olfa Kaabia & Ilyes Abid, 2017. "ASEAN Plus Three Stock Markets Integration," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 15(3), pages 565-581, September.
    8. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-510 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-604 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-511 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-492 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Guesmi, Khaled & Kablan, Sandrine, 2015. "Financial integration and Japanese stock market," MPRA Paper 70206, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-468 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & You, Kefei & Chen, Lei, 2019. "Global and regional stock market integration in Asia: A panel convergence approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    15. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-531 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Seema Wati Narayan & Mobeen Ur Rehman & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chaoqun Ma, 2023. "Is a correlation-based investment strategy beneficial for long-term international portfolio investors?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-26, December.
    17. Rajneesh Prakash Verma & Poonam Rani, 2016. "Emerging Stock Market Integration in the Post Financial Crises Era: An Empirical Analysis of the Short-term and Long-term Linkages," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 2(1), pages 91-109, May.
    18. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-440 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Jorge Andrés Muñoz Mendoza & Carmen Lissette Veloso Ramos & Sandra María Sepúlveda Yelpo & Carlos Leandro Delgado Fuentealba & Edinson Edgardo Cornejo Saavedra, 2022. "Exchange Markets and Stock Markets Integration in Latin-America," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 17(3), pages 1-24, Julio - S.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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