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The determinants of regional stock market integration in middle east: A conditional ICAPM approach

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  • Khaled Guesmi
  • Frédéric Teulon

Abstract

Over recent years, several emerging market regions have actively taken part in globalisation movements and world market integration. However, the financial integration processes appear to vary over time, and differ considerably from one region to another. This paper investigates intra-regional integration in the Middle East region during the period 1996–2008 using an international conditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) version that allows for dynamic changes in the degree of regional market integration, global risk premium, currency risk premium and local market risk premium. Our findings show that inflation, exchange rate volatility, variations in interest rate spread and global market dividend yields are key intra-regional integration variables in the Middle East context. Moreover, despite the complex economic and political situation that characterises the Middle East, our results indicate that stock markets in this area are well integrated in the regional market.

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  • Khaled Guesmi & Frédéric Teulon, 2014. "The determinants of regional stock market integration in middle east: A conditional ICAPM approach," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 137, pages 22-31.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2014-q1-137-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Guesmi, Khaled & Teulon, Frederic & Muzaffar, Ahmed Taneem, 2014. "The evolution of risk premium as a measure for intra-regional equity market integration," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 13-19.
    2. Guesmi, Khaled & Kablan, Sandrine & Belgacem, Aymen, 2015. "The regional pricing of risk: An empirical investigation of the MENA equity determinants," MPRA Paper 70271, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    3. Pasrun Adam & Ambo Wonua Nusantara & Abd AzisMuthalib, 2017. "Foreign Interest Ratesand the IslamicStock Market Integration between Indonesia and Malaysia," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 21(3), pages 639-659, Summer.
    4. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2018. "Addressing COP21 using a stock and oil market integration index," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 127-136.
    5. Muhammad Aamir & Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah, 2018. "Determinants of Stock Market Co-Movements between Pakistan and Asian Emerging Economies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-14, June.
    6. Yao, Shujie & He, Hongbo & Chen, Shou & Ou, Jinghua, 2018. "Financial liberalization and cross-border market integration: Evidence from China's stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 220-245.
    7. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2021. "Hedging stocks with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    8. Muhammad Hanif & Ariba Sabah, 2020. "Stock Markets’ Integration in Post Financial Crisis Era: Evidence from Literature," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 28(2), pages 43-71.
    9. Khaled Khaled & Amel Belanes & Sandrine Kablan, 2018. "The regional pricing of risk: An empirical investigation of the MENA Region," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 751-760.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multivariate GARCH; Intra-regional integration; CAPM;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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