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Regional Stock Market Integration of Singapore: A Multivariate Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Khaled Guesmi

  • Selim Mankai

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Frederic Teulon

Abstract

This paper evaluates the time-varying integration of the Singapore stock market in the ASEAN-5 region based on a conditional version of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) with c-DCC-FIAPARCH parameters. This model allows for dynamic changes in the degree of market integration, regional market risk premium, regional exchange-rate risk premium, and domestic market risk premium. Our findings show several interesting facts. First, the time-varying degree of integration in the Singapore market is satisfactorily explained by the level of trade openness and the term premium of US interest rates, which have recently tended to increase, however these markets remain substantially segmented from the world market. Second, the local market risk premium is found to explain a significant proportion of the total risk premium for emerging market returns. Our findings illustrate several important implications for portfolio hedgers for making optimal portfolio allocations, engaging in risk management and forecasting future volatility in equity markets. Our results are also of interest for both policymakers and investors, with respect to regional development policies and dedicated portfolio investment strategies in the ASEAN-5 region.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Khaled Guesmi & Selim Mankai & Frederic Teulon, 2014. "Regional Stock Market Integration of Singapore: A Multivariate Analysis," Post-Print hal-01385950, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385950
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    1. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-444 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Otilia-Roxana Oprea & Ovidiu Stoica, 2018. "Capital Markets Integration and Economic Growth," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 14(3), pages 23-35.
    3. Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Hu, Te-Chung & Hu, Hui-Ting, 2015. "Dynamic Asian stock market convergence: Evidence from dynamic cointegration analysis among China and ASEAN-5," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 84-98.
    4. Sergei A. Aivazian & Mikhail Yu. Afanasiev & Alexander V. Kudrov, 2018. "Indicators of Regional Development Using Differentiation Characteristics," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 14(3), pages 7-22.
    5. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-510 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Ha, Dao & Gillet, Philippe & Le, Phuong & Vo, Dinh-Tri, 2020. "Banking integration in ASEAN-6: An empirical investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 705-719.
    7. Yilmaz, Mustafa K. & Sensoy, Ahmet & Ozturk, Kevser & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2015. "Cross-sectoral interactions in Islamic equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1-20.
    8. Aloui, Chaker & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Hamida, Hela ben, 2015. "Global factors driving structural changes in the co-movement between sharia stocks and sukuk in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 311-329.
    9. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-604 is not listed on IDEAS
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    12. Joseph Nyangon & John Byrne & Job Taminiau, 2017. "An assessment of price convergence between natural gas and solar photovoltaic in the U.S. electricity market," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(3), May.
    13. Narayan, S. & Le, T.-H. & Sriananthakumar, S., 2018. "The influence of terrorism risk on stock market integration: Evidence from eight OECD countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 247-259.
    14. Dong, Xiyong & Li, Changhong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "How can investors build a better portfolio in small open economies? Evidence from Asia’s Four Little Dragons," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-468 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-531 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-440 is not listed on IDEAS

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