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Tax Burden and GDP: Evidence from Frequency Doman Approach for the USA

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  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari

    () (ICFAI University Tripura)

Abstract

We employed Breitung and Candelon's (2006) frequency domain approach to investigate the short-and long-run Granger-causality from different tax burden to GDP in the USA for the period 1947:1 –2009:3. The frequency domain analysis shows that current receipts, personal current tax, taxes on production and imports and taxes on corporate income do not Granger-cause GDP, both at the short and high frequency level; however, current tax receipts Granger-cause GDP in the frequency range of (0.9,1.9), corresponding to the cycle of to 3 months to 7 months. These results suggest that when the USA looks forward to rebalancing her GDP, by means of taxation, it is preferable to reconsider the tax structure with a focus on current tax receipts. This is so because by changing the structure of current tax receipts, the USA will be able to earn more revenue, even in the initial stage. However, if the USA decides to increase welfare, with the stability and sustainability of GDP, the policy makers are advised to readjust the tax burden by infusing the changes of the current receipts, personal current tax, taxes on production and imports and taxes on corporate income.

Suggested Citation

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2012. "Tax Burden and GDP: Evidence from Frequency Doman Approach for the USA," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 147-159.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00794
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn, 2006. "A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1647-1669.
    6. Marc Gronwald, 2009. "Reconsidering the macroeconomics of the oil price in Germany: testing for causality in the frequency domain," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 441-453, May.
    7. Padovano, Fabio & Galli, Emma, 2002. "Comparing the growth effects of marginal vs. average tax rates and progressivity," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 529-544, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:liu:liucej:v:14:y:2017:i:2:p:265-301 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "An empirical investigation of causality between producers' price and consumers' price indices in Australia in frequency domain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1571-1578.
    3. Aviral Tiwari & Mihai Mutascu, 2014. "A revisit on the tax burden distribution and GDP growth: fresh evidence using a consistent nonparametric test for causality for the USA," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 961-972, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Granger causality in frequency domain; GDP; Tax burden;

    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook

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