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Worldwide Economic Impact of Increasingly Protectionist US Trade Policy

Author

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  • Erdal Yalcin
  • Marina Steininger

Abstract

Many countries are facing the problem of rising protectionism. With the appointment of the new US President Donald Trump, this trend reached a new level. This article quantifies the economic consequences of protectionist aspirations by focusing on the scenarios that have been communicated by the US government as potential trade policies. The results of three simulations - 1. The US withdraws from the North American Free Trade Agreement NAFTA 2. The introduction of a Border Tax Adjustment 3. The USA increases its tariffs - show that neither the USA nor its trade partners stand to benefit from the protectionist measures that the USA is threatening to take.

Suggested Citation

  • Erdal Yalcin & Marina Steininger, 2018. "Worldwide Economic Impact of Increasingly Protectionist US Trade Policy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(04), pages 30-38, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:04:p:30-38
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations

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