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The Effects of AI on Economic Growth and Employment: Results from the Economic Experts Survey

Author

Listed:
  • Anita Dietrich
  • Oliver Falck
  • Philipp Heil
  • Niklas Potrafke
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

Abstract

Key MessagesAI is expected to significantly accelerate economic growth over the next decade Expert expectations exceed most current estimates in the academic literature A majority of experts support tighter AI regulation – Germany is the notable exceptionAI will likely intensify labor market polarization, with medium-skilled workers most at riskPolicy must balance innovation, regulation, and workforce adaptation to fully realize AI’s benefits

Suggested Citation

  • Anita Dietrich & Oliver Falck & Philipp Heil & Niklas Potrafke & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2026. "The Effects of AI on Economic Growth and Employment: Results from the Economic Experts Survey," EconPol Forum, CESifo, vol. 27(02), pages 25-32, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:epofor:v:27:y:2026:i:02:p:25-32
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