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Désajustements de change, fédéralisme budgétaire et redistribution. Comment s'ajuster en union monétaire

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  • Vincent Duwicquet
  • Jacques Mazier
  • Jamel Saadaoui

Abstract

The euro zone crisis illustrates the insufficiency of adjustment mechanisms in a monetaryunion characterized by a large heterogeneity. Firstly, the paper gives an evaluationof exchange rate misalignments inside the euro zone, using a FEER approach(Jeong et ali., 2010). Usingpanel econometric techniques over the period 1994-2010, we confirm that the exchange ratemisalignments in the euro zone have diverged, reflecting unsustainable evolutions. Secondly, we use a ?stock-flow consistent? modelof a monetary union with two countries along the lines of Godley and Lavoie (2007) and Duwicquet and Mazier (2010). A federal budget is introduced with federal expenditures andsocial transfers financed by federal taxes and euro-bonds issuing. The stabilizing role of such a federal budget is confirmed facing asymmetric shock or thenegative impact of exchange rate misalignments inside the monetary union. Similarly, the stabilizingrole of euro-bonds used to finance European investment projects is illustrated. JEL Classification: F31, F32, F41, F37, E12.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincent Duwicquet & Jacques Mazier & Jamel Saadaoui, 2013. "Désajustements de change, fédéralisme budgétaire et redistribution. Comment s'ajuster en union monétaire," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 57-96.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_127_0057
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Saadaoui, Jamel, 2015. "Global imbalances: Should we use fundamental equilibrium exchange rates?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, pages 383-398.
    2. Vincent Duwicquet & Jacques Mazier & Jamel Saadaoui, 2014. "Interest rates, eurobonds and intra-European exchange rate misalignments: the challenge of sustainable adjustments in the eurozone," CEPN Working Papers halshs-01089208, HAL.
    3. Vincent Duwicquet & Jacques Mazier & Jamel Saadaoui, 2016. "Interest rates, Eurobonds and intra-European exchange rate misalignments," Post-Print hal-01359820, HAL.
    4. Duwicquet, Vincent & Mazier, Jacques & Petit, Pascal & Saadaoui, Jamel, 2015. "The future of the euro," MPRA Paper 67690, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate misalignments; adjustments; monetary union; euro zone crisis;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian

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