IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bpj/rmeecf/v5y2009i2n1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Kuwaiti Consumption in the Presence of Dramatic Economic Events: 1973-2003

Author

Listed:
  • Packey Daniel J

    (Curtin University of Technology)

  • Nusair Salah

    (Gulf University for Science and Technology)

Abstract

The Kuwaiti consumption function is examined for the 1973-2003 time period. The dramatic events included: the Arab oil embargo of 1973, Kuwait's nationalization of oil facilities in 1976, the oil price shock in 1978, the Iranian Revolution in 1979, the Iran/Iraq war, Kuwait's unofficial stock market Al Manakh crash, increases in crude oil supply by non-OPEC producers by ten million barrels per day, the collapse of world crude oil prices in 1986, and the 1990 Iraq invasion. This paper examines three decades in which Kuwait experiences a variety of uncommonly dramatic economic and sociological events. The question we are addressing econometrically is: "Is consistency in Kuwaiti consumption maintained even in the presence of extreme economic conditions?"We found that Kuwaiti consumption is consistent with the Permanent Income Hypothesis. That is the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) approaches the average propensity to consume (APC) and the intercept is not significantly different from zero. Moreover, this result of a relatively small MPC of 0.30 is consistent with the contentions of Keynes and Kurihara that wealthy high income economies have relatively small values for MPC and APC.

Suggested Citation

  • Packey Daniel J & Nusair Salah, 2009. "Kuwaiti Consumption in the Presence of Dramatic Economic Events: 1973-2003," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 5(2), pages 1-20, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:5:y:2009:i:2:n:1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.degruyter.com/view/j/rmeef.2009.5.2/rmeef.2009.5.2.1103/rmeef.2009.5.2.1103.xml?format=INT
    Download Restriction: For access to full text, subscription to the journal or payment for the individual article is required.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gregory, Allan W. & Hansen, Bruce E., 1996. "Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 99-126, January.
    2. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
    3. Serena Ng & Pierre Perron, 2001. "LAG Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(6), pages 1519-1554, November.
    4. Gregory, Allan W. & Hansen, Bruce E., 1996. "Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 99-126, January.
    5. Perron, Pierre & Rodriguez, Gabriel, 2003. "GLS detrending, efficient unit root tests and structural change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 1-27, July.
    6. DeJong, David N, et al, 1992. "Integration versus Trend Stationarity in Time Series," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 423-433, March.
    7. SULAYMAN S. AL-QuDSI, 1984. "An Empirical Evaluation of Consumption Behaviour in Oil Societies: The Case of Kuwait," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 23(1), pages 81-94.
    8. Abeysinghe, Tilak & Choy, Keen Meng, 2004. "The aggregate consumption puzzle in Singapore," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 563-578, June.
    9. Simon Kuznets, 1946. "Introduction to "National Income: A Summary of Findings"," NBER Chapters,in: National Income: A Summary of Findings, pages 1-2 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    11. Milton Friedman, 1957. "Introduction to "A Theory of the Consumption Function"," NBER Chapters,in: A Theory of the Consumption Function, pages 1-6 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
    13. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1.
    14. Simon Kuznets, 1946. "National Income: A Summary of Findings," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number kuzn46-2.
    15. Spanos, Aris, 1989. "Early Empirical Findings on the Consumption Function, Stylized Facts or Fiction: A Retrospective View," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 41(1), pages 150-169, January.
    16. Modigliani, Franco & Tarantelli, E, 1975. "The Consumption Function in a Developing Economy and the Italian Experience," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(5), pages 825-842, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:5:y:2009:i:2:n:1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Peter Golla). General contact details of provider: https://www.degruyter.com .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.