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Bilateral Free Trade Agreements and Customs Unions: The Impact of the EU Republic of South Africa Free Trade Agreement on Botswana

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  • Scott McDonald
  • Terrie Walmsley

Abstract

The EU has indicated that after 2008 its trade relationships with developing countries will be dominated by the development of preferential trade agreements. Although not a consequence of the Cotonou Agreement, the free trade agreement between the EU and the Republic of South Africa (EU RSA FTA) was clearly one of the first fruits of this approach to trade relationships. However, there is no evidence that the design of the EU RSA FTA incorporated a comprehensive general equilibrium evaluation of the agreement for either the signatories or the other southern African nations. The analyses reported here indicate that while the EU RSA FTA may substantially benefit the signatories, there are appreciable negative impacts for other states, especially the Republic of South Africa's immediate neighbours. Moreover, the analyses indicate that the structural adjustments for African economies signalled by the FTA are substantial, which implies that there will be substantial economic costs associated with the FTA.

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  • Scott McDonald & Terrie Walmsley, 2008. "Bilateral Free Trade Agreements and Customs Unions: The Impact of the EU Republic of South Africa Free Trade Agreement on Botswana," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(8), pages 993-1029, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:31:y:2008:i:8:p:993-1029
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9701.2008.01112.x
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    2. Dixon, Peter B. & Johnson, Martin & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2008. "Reducing illegal migrants in the U.S.: a dynamic CGE analysis," Conference papers 331742, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Francois, Joseph F. & McQueen, Matthew & Wignaraja, Ganeshan, 2005. "European Union-developing country FTAs: overview and analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 1545-1565, October.
    4. Berger, Helge & Nitsch, Volker, 2008. "Gotcha! A Profile of Smuggling in International Trade," Conference papers 331735, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Ana Shohibul Manshur Al Ahmad, 2014. "ASEAN-India and ASEAN-Korea FTA: Global Trade Analysis Project," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 6(1), pages 56-67, April.
    6. Orecchia, Carlo & Parrado, Ramiro, 2014. "Deployment of new clean technologies in developing countries in a CGE framework: fostering investments in clean and renewable energy," Conference papers 332492, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Heinrich R. Bohlmann & Leoné Walters & Matthew W. Clance, 2016. "The Impact of the COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite Free Trade Agreement on the South African Economy," Working Papers 635, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    8. Tregenna, Fiona, 2011. "Halving Poverty in South Africa: Growth and Distributional Aspects," WIDER Working Paper Series 060, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Sanchita Basu Das & Rahul Sen & Sadhana Srivastava, 2017. "A Partial Asean Customs Union Post 2015?," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(03), pages 593-617, June.
    10. Osman, Rehab Osman Mohamed, 2012. "The EU Economic Partnership Agreements with Southern Africa: a computable general equilibrium analysis," Economics PhD Theses 0412, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    11. Guyslain K. Ngeleza & Andrew Muhammad, 2015. "Preferential Trade Agreements Between the Monetary Community of Central Africa and the European Union: Stumbling or Building Blocks? A General Equilibrium Approach," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 251-272, March.
    12. Fontagné, Lionel & Guillin, Amélie & Mitaritonna, Cristina, 2010. "Estimations of Tariff Equivalents for the Services Sectors," Conference papers 331941, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    13. Scott McDonald & Terrie Walmsley, 2004. "Preferential Trade Agreements and the Optimal Liberalisation of Agricultural Trade," Working Papers 2004010, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2004.

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