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Estimating state and sub-state economic effects of a carbon dioxide tax policy: An application of a new multi-region energy-economy econometric model

Author

Listed:
  • David C. Warren
  • Zachary A. Wendling
  • Jacob Bower-Bir
  • Henry Fields
  • Kenneth R. Richards
  • Sanya Carley
  • Barry M. Rubin

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="es"> Resumen . Este artículo debate un enfoque econométrico innovador para el modelado de la forma en que las políticas energéticas nacionales, o las de escala estatal, pueden afectar a los resultados económicos estatales y subestatales, mediante el empleo del nuevo modelo energético-económico redimensionable Indiana (IN-SEEM, por sus siglas en inglés). Este modelo, que se puede modificar y redimensionar para investigar otros estados y regiones subestatales, se usa para analizar los efectos económicos de un impuesto sobre dióxido de carbono (CO 2 ) en el estado de Indiana y en dos de sus regiones más pobladas. Los resultados de este análisis ofrecen una prueba de concepto de un enfoque econométrico que permite el análisis subestatal de las políticas energéticas. Además, el análisis de políticas considera que sin un mecanismo para el reciclaje de los ingresos fiscales por CO 2 de vuelta a la economía, un impuesto sobre el CO 2 entre 15 USD y 45 USD por tonelada tendrá un efecto negativo significativo en la economía estatal y en la de las dos regiones examinadas. Si bien encontramos que el impuesto es un medio eficaz para reducir el consumo de energía y por lo tanto las emisiones de CO 2 , se pronostica que el empleo total y el producto estatal bruto per capita disminuirán en un 4,0 y 3,2 por ciento respectivamente para el estado, dado un impuesto de 15 USD por tonelada de CO 2 en el año 2025.

Suggested Citation

  • David C. Warren & Zachary A. Wendling & Jacob Bower-Bir & Henry Fields & Kenneth R. Richards & Sanya Carley & Barry M. Rubin, 2015. "Estimating state and sub-state economic effects of a carbon dioxide tax policy: An application of a new multi-region energy-economy econometric model," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(3), pages 119-139, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:rgscpp:v:7:y:2015:i:3:p:119-139
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