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Geography and Demography: New Economic Geography With Endogenous Fertility

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  • Hiroshi Goto
  • Keiya Minamimura

Abstract

To explain the links between demographics and economic integration, we construct a new economic geography model with endogenous fertility. Labour mobility across regions results in more people flowing into highly populated regions, but lowers fertility rates there. Finally, regions are divided into one very large region with a higher real wage and another small region with a lower real wage, a higher fertility rate and a supply of workers to the large region. The population growth path resembles a logistic curve in the early phase, but population decreases in the last phase. Economic integration leads to population concentration and decreases population size.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiroshi Goto & Keiya Minamimura, 2019. "Geography and Demography: New Economic Geography With Endogenous Fertility," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 70(4), pages 537-568, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jecrev:v:70:y:2019:i:4:p:537-568
    DOI: 10.1111/jere.12213
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Madoka Muroishi & Akira Yakita, 2021. "Agglomeration economies, congestion diseconomies, and fertility dynamics in a two-region economy," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 51-63, April.
    2. Hiroshi Goto & Keiya Minamimura, 2019. "Geography and Demography: New Economic Geography with Endogenous Fertility," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 70(4), pages 537-568, December.
    3. Hiroyuki Hashimoto & Tohru Naito, 2021. "Urbanization, waitlisted children, and childcare support in a two‐region overlapping generations model," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 1068-1089, June.
    4. Hiroyuki Hashimoto & Tohru Naito, 2024. "Does an urban childcare policy improve the nurturing environment in a city?," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 85-109, March.
    5. Keisuke Kondo, 2019. "Does agglomeration discourage fertility? Evidence from the Japanese General Social Survey 2000–2010," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(3), pages 677-704.
    6. Kónya, István, 2019. "Külkereskedelem, regionális különbségek és a képzettek vándorlása [Foreign trade, regional differences, and migration of skilled staff]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 635-652.
    7. Wataru Takahashi, 2021. "Population Mobility Structural Analysis and Population Estimation Using a Quantitative Spatial Model," Discussion papers ron339, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    8. Hiroshi Goto & Keiya Minamimura, 2019. "Geography and Demography: New Economic Geography With Endogenous Fertility," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 70(4), pages 537-568, December.
    9. Hiroyuki Hashimoto & Tohru Naito, 2024. "National welfare implications of regional childcare policy: A theoretical approach," Romanian Journal of Regional Science, Romanian Regional Science Association, vol. 18(1), pages 38-66, June.
    10. Hiroshi Goto & Keiya Minamimura, 2019. "Geography and Demography: New Economic Geography with Endogenous Fertility," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 70(4), pages 537-568, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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