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Modelling the Probability of Youth Unemployment in Australia

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  • MARK N. HARRIS

Abstract

This paper attempts to explain how particular personal characteristics affect the probability of Australian youth unemployment. Results indicate that generally age, education and financial commitments exert a positive influence on employment prospects. Also, there is evidence to suggest that the disabled are disadvantaged in the workplace and that women are less likely to supply their labour if they have children. The results are compared to the known effects of personal characteristics on the duration of unemployment, pointing policy clearly in the direction of age, education and reservation wages.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark N. Harris, 1996. "Modelling the Probability of Youth Unemployment in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 72(217), pages 118-129, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:72:y:1996:i:217:p:118-129
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1996.tb00946.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gábor Krösi & Russel J Rimmer & Sheila M Rimmer, 1993. "Contributions from Gender and Unions to Earnings Differences Among Young Australians: The Analysis of a Panel," Working Papers 1993.28, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
    2. Butler, J S & Moffitt, Robert, 1982. "A Computationally Efficient Quadrature Procedure for the One-Factor Multinomial Probit Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(3), pages 761-764, May.
    3. Ross, Russell T., 1987. "The Labour Market Position of Aboriginal People in New South Wales," Working Papers 99, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    4. Gábor Kőrösi & Russel J Rimmer & Sheila M Rimmer, 1993. "Contributions from Gender and Unions to Earnings Differences Among Young Australians: The Analysis of a Panel," Working Papers 1993.28, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
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    Cited by:

    1. Matthew Gray & Lixia Qu, 2003. "Determinants of Australian Mothers’ Employment: An Analysis of Lone and Couple Mothers," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 6(4), pages 597-617, December.
    2. Bruce Chapman & Matthew Gray, 2002. "Youth Unemployment: Aggregate Incidence and Consequences for Individuals," CEPR Discussion Papers 459, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
    3. Baffoe-Bonnie, John & Ezeala-Harrison, Fidelis, 2005. "Incidence and duration of unemployment spells: Implications for the male-female wage differentials," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-5), pages 824-847, September.
    4. Mavromaras, Kostas & Polidano, Cain, 2011. "Improving the Employment Rates of People with Disabilities through Vocational Education," IZA Discussion Papers 5548, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Kelly, Elish & McGuinness, Seamus, 2015. "Impact of the Great Recession on unemployed and NEET individuals’ labour market transitions in Ireland," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 59-71.
    6. Anh T. Le & Paul W. Miller, 2000. "Australia's Unemployment Problem," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 76(232), pages 74-104, March.
    7. Jeff Borland, 2000. "Disaggregated Models of Unemployment in Australia," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2000n16, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    8. Mavromaras, Kostas & Polidano, Cain, 2011. "NILS Working paper no 165. Improving the employment rates of people with disabilities through vocational education," NILS Working Papers 26068, National Institute of Labour Studies.
    9. Scott Baum & William Mitchell, 2008. "Adequate Employment, Underutilisation and Unemployment: an Analysis of Labour Force Outcomes for Australian Youth," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 11(3), pages 187-201.
    10. Scott Baum & Anthea Bill & William Mitchell, 2008. "Labour Underutilisation in Metropolitan Labour Markets in Australia: Individual Characteristics, Personal Circumstances and Local Labour Markets," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 45(5-6), pages 1193-1216, May.
    11. Kelly, Elish & McGuinness, Seamus & O'Connell, Philip J., 2011. "Transitions to Long-Term Unemployment Risk Among Young People: Evidence from Ireland," Papers WP394, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

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