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Forward currency markets in Asia: lessons from the Australian experience

Author

Listed:
  • Guy Debelle
  • Jacob Gyntelberg
  • Michael Plumb

Abstract

Capital controls have resulted in the creation of numerous offshore non-deliverable forward (NDF) markets for Asian currencies. The Australian experience in the 1970s and early 1980s indicates that an NDF market may facilitate a smooth transition to a fully convertible currency.

Suggested Citation

  • Guy Debelle & Jacob Gyntelberg & Michael Plumb, 2006. "Forward currency markets in Asia: lessons from the Australian experience," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisqtr:0609g
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gabriele Galati, 2001. "Why has global FX turnover declined? Explaining the 2001 triennial survey," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    2. Guy Debelle & Michael Plumb, 2006. "The Evolution of Exchange Rate Policy and Capital Controls in Australia," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 5(2), pages 7-29, Spring/Su.
    3. Guonan Ma & Corrinne Ho & Robert N McCauley, 2004. "The markets for non-deliverable forwards in Asian currencies," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Colavecchio, Roberta & Funke, Michael, 2008. "Volatility transmissions between renminbi and Asia-Pacific on-shore and off-shore U.S. dollar futures," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 635-648, December.
    2. Ric Battellino & Michael Plumb, 2011. "A generation of an internationalised Australian dollar," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Currency internationalisation: lessons from the global financial crisis and prospects for the future in Asia and the Pacific, volume 61, pages 202-217, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Mr. Craig Beaumont & Li Cui, 2007. "Conquering Fear of Floating: Australia's Successful Adaptation to a Flexible Exchange Rate," IMF Policy Discussion Papers 2007/002, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Chen, Yu-Fu & Funke, Michael & Glanemann, Nicole, 2009. "A Soft Edge Target Zone Model: Theory And Application To Hong Kong," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-61, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    5. Michael Funke & Marc Gronwald, 2008. "The Undisclosed Renminbi Basket: Are the Markets Telling Us Something about Where the Renminbi–US Dollar Exchange Rate is Going?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(12), pages 1581-1598, December.
    6. M S Sriram & Vaibhav Chaturvedi, 2012. "Summary of the discussion," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial sector regulation for growth, equity and stability, volume 62, pages 119-121, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Tsuyuguchi, Yosuke & Wooldridge, Philip D., 2008. "The evolution of trading activity in Asian foreign exchange markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 231-246, December.
    8. repec:uts:finphd:39 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Robert Neil McCauley & Chang Shu, 2016. "Non-deliverable forwards: impact of currency internationalisation and derivatives reform," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    10. Yanping Zhao & Zaghum Umar & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Return and volatility connectedness of Chinese onshore, offshore, and forward exchange rate," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1843-1860, November.
    11. Su, Fei & Zhang, Jingjing, 2018. "Global price discovery in the Australian dollar market and its determinants," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 35-55.
    12. Victor Pontines & Reza Siregar, 2012. "Exchange Rate Appreciation, Capital Flows and Excess Liquidity: Adjustment and Effectiveness of Policy Responses," Research Studies, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number rp87.
    13. Michael Funke & Yu-Fu Chen & Nicole Glanemann, 2009. "A soft target zone model: Theory and application to Hong Kong," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20912, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
    14. Wang, Kai-Li & Fawson, Christopher & Chen, Mei-Ling & Wu, An-Chi, 2014. "Characterizing information flows among spot, deliverable forward and non-deliverable forward exchange rate markets: A cross-country comparison," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 115-137.
    15. Harendra Behera & Rajiv Ranjan & Sajjid Chinoy, 2022. "Does offshore NDF market influence onshore forex market? Evidence from India," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1167-1185, June.
    16. Robert McCauley, 2006. "Internationalising a currency: the case of the Australian dollar," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    17. Evsey Gurvich & Vladimir Sokolov & Alexey Ulyukaev, 2009. "Analysis of the Relationship Between the Exchange Rate Policy of the Russian Central Bank and the Interest Rates: Uncovered and Covered Parity," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 1-2, pages 104-126.
    18. repec:zbw:bofitp:2009_021 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Robert N McCauley & Chang Shu & Guonan Ma, 2014. "Non-deliverable forwards: 2013 and beyond," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    20. Jia, Fei & Shen, Yao & Ren, Junfan & Xu, Xiangyun, 2021. "The impact of offshore exchange rate expectations on onshore exchange rates: The case of Chinese RMB," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    21. Kyungsoo Kim & Young Kyung Suh, 2011. "Dealing with the benefits and costs of internationalisation of the Korean won," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Currency internationalisation: lessons from the global financial crisis and prospects for the future in Asia and the Pacific, volume 61, pages 151-171, Bank for International Settlements.
    22. repec:uts:finphd:38 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Fei Su, 2018. "Essays on Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in the Foreign Exchange Market," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2018, January-A.
    24. Guonan Ma & Robert N. McCauley, 2007. "Do China's capital controls still bind? Implications for monetary autonomy and capital liberalisation," BIS Working Papers 233, Bank for International Settlements.
    25. Yu-Fu Chen & Michael Funke & Nicole Glanemann, 2009. "A Soft Edge Target Zone Model: Theory And Application To Hong Kong," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 228, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • N25 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Asia including Middle East

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