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Efficient Policy Rule for Inflation Targeting in Colombia

Author

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  • Martha López P.

    (Banco de la Republica)

Abstract

Utilizando un modelo macroeconómico de pequeña escala para la economía colombiana, se investiga el problema de seleccionar una regla de política simple; una regla que utilice un conjunto reducido de información, que sea consistente con un régimen de inflación objetivo. A pesar de que las reglas de política simples no son tan eficientes como lo serían las reglas de política óptimas, en la literatura se ha mostrado que algunas reglas simples pueden aproximarlas muy bien. Se explican las características de los parámetros de reacción y de producto en reglas simples de Taylor e IFB, así como el horizonte óptimo de pronóstico para inflación objetivo. Mediante el uso de simulaciones estocásticas del modelo se encuentra que, como se esperaba, las reglas simples que utilizan proyecciones de la inflación en lugar de la inflación contemporánea tienen mejores propiedades de estabilización.

Suggested Citation

  • Martha López P., 2004. "Efficient Policy Rule for Inflation Targeting in Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 22(45), pages 80-115, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:ensayo:v:22:y:2004:i:45:p:80-115
    DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4503
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1999. "Inflation targeting as a monetary policy rule," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 607-654, June.
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    10. Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(6-7), pages 891-910, June.
    11. Javier Gómez & José Darío Uribe & Hernando Vargas, 2002. "The Implementation Of Inflation Targeting In Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003603, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andrés Giraldo & Martha Misas & Edgar Villa, 2012. "Reconstructing Colombia’s Recent History of Monetary Policy from 1990 to 2010," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República - ESPE, vol. 30(67), pages 56-103, July.
    2. Gloria Lucía Bernal Nisperuza & Johanna Táutiva Pradere, 2008. "Relevancia de los datos en tiempo real en la estimación de la regla de Taylor para Colombia," Documentos de Economía 005421, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá.
    3. Urrutia, Miguel & Hofstetter, Marc & Hamann, Franz, 2014. "Inflation Targeting in Colombia, 2002-2012," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 6394, Inter-American Development Bank.
    4. Gloria Lucía Bernal Nisperuza & Johanna Táutiva Pradere, 2011. "Datos en tiempo real:una aplicación a la regla de taylor en Colombia," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 13(24), pages 373-394, January-J.
    5. Juan Manuel Julio Román, 2006. "The Monetary Policy Rule During The Transition To A Stable Level Of Inflation: The Case Of Colombia," Borradores de Economia 404, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Edgar Villa & Martha A. Misas & Andrés F. Giraldo, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and an Optimal Taylor Rule for an Open Economy: Evidence for Colombia 1990-2011," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 51(1), pages 41-83, May.
    7. Pietro Bonaldi & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2011. "Importancia de las rigideces nominales y reales en Colombia: un enfoque de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 29(66), pages 48-78, December.
    8. Pietro Bonaldi & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2011. "Importancia de las rigideces nominales y reales en Colombia: un enfoque de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 29(66), pages 48-78, December.
    9. Andrés Felipe Giraldo Palomino, 2008. "Aversión a la inflación y regla de Taylor en Colombia 1994-2005," Revista Cuadernos de Economía, Universidad Nacional de Colombia -FCE - CID, December.
    10. Andrés Felipe Giraldo Palomino, 2010. "Aspectos institucionales de la Banca Central en Colombia (1963-2007)," Revista Cuadernos de Economía, Universidad Nacional de Colombia -FCE - CID, June.
    11. Mr. Daniel Leigh, 2008. "Achieving a Soft Landing: The Role of Fiscal Policy," IMF Working Papers 2008/069, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Andrés Felipe Giraldo & Martha Misas Arango & Edgar Villa Pérez, 2011. "Reconstructing the recent monetary policy history of Colombia from 1990 to 2010," Vniversitas Económica 008860, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflación objetivo; horizonte; reglas de política óptima; reglas simples; metas.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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