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Datos en tiempo real:una aplicación a la regla de taylor en Colombia

  • Gloria Lucía Bernal Nisperuza

    ()

    (Pontificia Universidad Javeriana)

  • Johanna Táutiva Pradere

    ()

    (Departamento Nacional de Planeación)

Registered author(s):

    Los datos de variables macroeconómicas usados por los agentes y hacedores de política para la toma de decisiones y aquellos usados por los investigadores para la evaluación de dichas decisiones podrían no ser comparables, pues estos últimos son revisados y actualizados continuamente por las entidades estadísticas. Este trabajo construye una base de datos en tiempo real (DTR) del PIB real de Colombia y estima una regla de Taylor usando dichos datos versus datos revisados. Se encuentra que el coeficiente de inflación es significativamente diferente si se estima con DTR versus datos revisados.

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    File URL: http://www.uexternado.edu.co/facecono/ecoinstitucional/workingpapers/gbernal,gbernal24.pdf
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    Article provided by Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía in its journal Revista de Economía Institucional.

    Volume (Year): 13 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 24 (January-June)
    Pages: 373-394

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    Handle: RePEc:rei:ecoins:v:13:y:2011:i:24:p:373-394
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    1. Juan Manuel Julio & Javier Gómez, . "Output Gap Estimation, Estimation Uncertainty and its Effect on Policy Rules," Borradores de Economia 125, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2001. "Is The Fed Too Timid? Monetary Policy In An Uncertain World," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(2), pages 203-217, May.
    3. Rudebusch, Glenn D, 1998. "Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 907-31, November.
    4. Svensson, Lars E. O., 2005. "Monetary policy with judgment: forecast targeting," Working Paper Series 0476, European Central Bank.
    5. Martha López P., 2004. "Efficient Policy Rule for Inflation Targeting in Colombia," Money Affairs, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(1), pages 1-24, January-J.
    6. John B. Taylor, 1999. "Introduction to "Monetary Policy Rules"," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 1-14 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Andrés Felipe Giraldo Palomino, 2008. "Aversión a la inflación y regla de Taylor en Colombia 1994-2005," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID.
    8. John B. Taylor, 1998. "An Historical Analysis of Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Working Papers 6768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Athanasios Orphanides, 1998. "Monetary policy rules based on real-time data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1998-03, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Juan Manuel Julio Román, . "The Monetary Policy Rule During The Transition To A Stable Level Of Inflation: The Case Of Colombia," Borradores de Economia 404, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    11. Rudebusch, Glenn D, 1998. "Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense? A Reply," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 943-48, November.
    12. John B. Taylor, 1999. "Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number tayl99-1.
    13. David E. Runkle, 1998. "Revisionist history: how data revisions distort economic policy research," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Fall, pages 3-12.
    14. Javier Gómez Pineda & María Paola Figueroa, 2003. "Modelo Mensual de Canales de Transmisión," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003240, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
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