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Intra Industry Trade, Fiscal Policy And Terms Of Trade Of Pakistan: A Long Run Analysis Using Ardl Technique

Author

Listed:
  • Farrukh Bashir
  • Fareeha Andleeb
  • Rahat Fatima

    (The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan Bahawalnagar Campus.)

Abstract

This study investigates long run relationship between Intra Industry Trade, fiscal policy and Terms of Trade of Pakistan. Considering the intention, time series data having time span from 1972 to 2014 is chosen. Data is collected through various sources like World Development Indicators, Handbook of Statistics on Pakistan Economy (2010) and Economic Survey of Pakistan (2014 – 15). After observing mixed stationary results of the variables [I(0), I(1)] using Augmented Dickey Fuller test, autoregressive and distributed lag model technique is applied for the analysis. For estimating elasticities of terms of trade with respect to the variables, log – log form of the model is utilized. The study reveals Intra Industry Trade, Real Gross Capital Formation and Real Government Expenditure as significant causes of improving Terms of Trade of Pakistan. On the other side, Terms of Trade of Pakistan is deteriorated due to real Gross Domestic Product and Real Foreign Direct Investment. Classification-JEL : C12, C22, C87, D24, L16, L66, O23, Z38

Suggested Citation

  • Farrukh Bashir & Fareeha Andleeb & Rahat Fatima, 2016. "Intra Industry Trade, Fiscal Policy And Terms Of Trade Of Pakistan: A Long Run Analysis Using Ardl Technique," Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 4(1), pages :1-16, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ani:ipjhss:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:1-16
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C87 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Econometric Software
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • L66 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Food; Beverages; Cosmetics; Tobacco
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
    • Z38 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - Policy

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