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Crisis And Economic Growth In The Eu

  • Péter Halmai

    ()

    (Faculty of Economics University of Pannonia Veszprém, Hungary)

  • Viktória Vásáry

    ()

    (Faculty of Economics University of Pannonia Veszprém, Hungary)

The dramatic decline in the actual output of the European economy is considered to be more than a cyclical discrepancy from the potential output. Both the level and the growth rate of the potential output show an unfavourable development. It is an important task of economic research to identify the channels through which the financial crisis might have an impact on the level and growth rate of the potential output. The European economic policies face major challenges while trying to find those effective answers which contribute to the mitigation of the potential output losses. The impacts of the crises on the potential growth need to be reviewed in regard to potential growth factors (labour utilization, capital accumulation and total factor productivity). It is essential to reveal the transmission channels and the experiences gained during previous financial and economic crises. The paper is based on broad mid-term quantitative analyses using the production function approach. In the end alternative long-term scenarios are analyzed.

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Article provided by Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its journal Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" din Iasi.

Volume (Year): 58 (2011)
Issue (Month): (november)
Pages: 411-431

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Handle: RePEc:aic:journl:y:2011:v:58:p:411-431
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  1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 466-72, May.
  2. Ratto, Marco & Roeger, Werner & Veld, Jan in 't, 2009. "QUEST III: An estimated open-economy DSGE model of the euro area with fiscal and monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 222-233, January.
  3. Giuseppe Carone & C�cile Denis & Kieran Mc Morrow & Gilles Mourre & Werner R�ger, 2006. "Long-term labour productivity and GDP projections for the EU25 Member States : a production function framework," European Economy - Economic Papers 253, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  4. Carmen M. Reinhart & Vincent R. Reinhart, 2010. "After the fall," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 17-60.
  5. Furceri, Davide & Mourougane, Annabelle, 2012. "The effect of financial crises on potential output: New empirical evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 822-832.
  6. Valerie Cerra & Sweta Chaman Saxena, 2008. "Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(1), pages 439-57, March.
  7. Francesca D'Auria & Cécile Denis & Karel Havik & Kieran Mc Morrow & Christophe Planas & Rafal Raciborski & Werner Roger & Alessandro Rossi, 2010. "The production function methodology for calculating potential growth rates and output gaps," European Economy - Economic Papers 420, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  8. Chatterji, Monojit, 1992. "Convergence Clubs and Endogenous Growth," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(4), pages 57-69, Winter.
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