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Impacts of Weather Variability and Climate Change on Agricultural Revenues in Central Asia

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  • Mirzabaev, Alisher

Abstract

The study evaluates the impact of weather variability on agricultural revenues in the four Central Asian countries using a panel data at the province level for the period of 1990-2010. The net average effects of weather variability are estimated to be less than 1% of total crop production revenues, with variations among the provinces in the region. This result is robust to numerous specification checks. It is believed that the main reason for such relatively low levels of impacts, in addition to good weather years, is evolving adaptive capacities and coping actions by farmers in the region. In most of Central Asia, important year-to-year weather variations are the norm rather than an exception. As a key conclusion, agricultural producers operating in such inherently stressed environments may have more experience to dynamically adapt to erratic and changing environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Mirzabaev, Alisher, 2013. "Impacts of Weather Variability and Climate Change on Agricultural Revenues in Central Asia," Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, Humboldt-Universitaat zu Berlin, vol. 52(3), pages 1-16, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:qjiage:173648
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.173648
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tamiru Lemi & Fekadu Hailu, 2019. "Effects of Climate Change Variability on Agricultural Productivity," International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 17(1), pages 14-20, February.
    2. Bobojonov, Ihtiyor & Berg, Ernst & Franz-Vasdeki, Jennifer & Martius, Christopher & Lamers, John P.A., 2016. "Income and irrigation water use efficiency under climate change: An application of spatial stochastic crop and water allocation model to Western Uzbekistan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 13, pages 19-30.
    3. Djuraeva, Mukhayyo & Bobojonov, Ihtiyor & Kuhn, Lena & Glauben, Thomas, 2023. "The impact of agricultural extension type and form on technical efficiency under transition: An empirical assessment of wheat production in Uzbekistan," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 203-221.
    4. Eugenia Chernina, 2019. "Natural Shocks And Migration Decisions: The Case Of Kyrgyzstan," HSE Working papers WP BRP 214/EC/2019, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    5. Bobojonov, Ihtiyor & Aw-Hassan, Aden, 2014. "Impacts of climate change on farm income security in Central Asia: An integrated modeling approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 188, pages 245-255.
    6. Donna Mitchell & Ryan B. Williams & Darren Hudson & Phillip Johnson, 2017. "A Monte Carlo analysis on the impact of climate change on future crop choice and water use in Uzbekistan," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(4), pages 697-709, August.

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