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Impacts of Weather Variability and Climate Change on Agricultural Revenues in Central Asia

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  • Mirzabaev, Alisher

Abstract

The study evaluates the impact of weather variability on agricultural revenues in the four Central Asian countries using a panel data at the province level for the period of 1990-2010. The net average effects of weather variability are estimated to be less than 1% of total crop production revenues, with variations among the provinces in the region. This result is robust to numerous specification checks. It is believed that the main reason for such relatively low levels of impacts, in addition to good weather years, is evolving adaptive capacities and coping actions by farmers in the region. In most of Central Asia, important year-to-year weather variations are the norm rather than an exception. As a key conclusion, agricultural producers operating in such inherently stressed environments may have more experience to dynamically adapt to erratic and changing environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Mirzabaev, Alisher, 2013. "Impacts of Weather Variability and Climate Change on Agricultural Revenues in Central Asia," Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, Humboldt-Universitaat zu Berlin, vol. 52(3), pages 1-16, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:qjiage:173648
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.173648
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    File URL: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/173648/files/4_Mirzabaev.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mendelsohn, Robert & Dinar, Ariel, 1999. "Climate Change, Agriculture, and Developing Countries: Does Adaptation Matter?," World Bank Research Observer, World Bank Group, vol. 14(2), pages 277-293, August.
    2. Darwin, Roy & Tsigas, Marinos E. & Lewandrowski, Jan & Raneses, Anton, 1995. "World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations," Agricultural Economics Reports 33933, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Mendelsohn, Robert & Nordhaus, William D & Shaw, Daigee, 1994. "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 753-771, September.
    4. Mendelsohn, Robert & Dinar, Ariel & Williams, Larry, 2006. "The distributional impact of climate change on rich and poor countries," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 159-178, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:zbw:espost:176543 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Eugenia Chernina, 2019. "Natural Shocks And Migration Decisions: The Case Of Kyrgyzstan," HSE Working papers WP BRP 214/EC/2019, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    3. repec:zbw:espost:171321 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:spr:ssefpa:v:9:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s12571-017-0690-2 is not listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy;

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