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Simulating the U.S. Impacts of Alternative Asian Soybean Rust Treatment Regimes

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  • Johansson, Robert C.
  • Livingston, Michael J.
  • Westra, John V.
  • Guidry, Kurt M.

Abstract

Asian soybean rust (rust) is an emerging issue in U.S. crop production and was identified in nine states during 2004. Recent farm surveys indicate that many producers are adjusting their management practices to the possibility of a rust infestation. The economic and environmental impacts of such adjustments are not known in the medium run given these new developments. We combine 2005 data on the geographical distribution of the fungal pathogen that causes rust with 2005 information on the availability and material costs of fungicides to analyze three treatment strategies. Our results indicate a higher range of economic impacts than previous research has indicated, but are consistent with earlier findings indicating that rust infestations will likely result in reduced soybean production, reduced exports, and higher prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Johansson, Robert C. & Livingston, Michael J. & Westra, John V. & Guidry, Kurt M., 2006. "Simulating the U.S. Impacts of Alternative Asian Soybean Rust Treatment Regimes," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 35(01), pages 1-12, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:10186
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.10186
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Williams, Gary W. & Shumway, C. Richard & Love, H. Alan, 2002. "Returns to Soybean Producers from Investments in Promotion and Research," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 31(01), pages 1-15, April.
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    8. Johansson, Robert C. & Cooper, Joseph C. & Vasavada, Utpal, 2005. "Greener Acres or Greener Waters? Potential U.S. Impacts of Agricultural Trade Liberalization," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 34(01), pages 1-12, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carroll, Christine & Carter, Colin A. & Goodhue, Rachael E. & Lin, C.-Y. Cynthia & Subbarao, Krishna, 2013. "Bioeconomic Modeling of an Imported Disease in California Lettuce," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150495, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Thakur, Tiesta & Hurley, Terrance M. & Homans, Frances R. & Haight, Robert G., . "Valuing Monitoring Networks for New Pathogens: The Case of Soybean Rust in the United States," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 49(3).
    3. Christine L. Carroll & Colin A. Carter & Rachael E. Goodhue & C.-Y. Cynthia Lin Lawell, 2017. "Crop Disease and Agricultural Productivity," NBER Working Papers 23513, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Gomez, Miguel I. & Nunez, Hector M. & Onal, Hayri, "undated". "Economic Impacts of Soybean Rust on the US Soybean Sector," Working Papers 51177, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    5. Christine L. Carroll & Colin A. Carter & Rachael E. Goodhue & C.-Y. Cynthia Lin Lawell, 2018. "Crop Disease and Agricultural Productivity: Evidence from a Dynamic Structural Model of Verticillium Wilt Management," NBER Chapters, in: Agricultural Productivity and Producer Behavior, pages 217-249, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Thakur, Tiesta & Homans, Frances R. & Haight, Robert G. & Hurley, Terrance M., "undated". "Valuing Monitoring Networks for New Pathogens: The Case of Soybean Rust," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273870, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Michael J. Roberts & David Schimmelpfennig & Michael J. Livingston & Elizabeth Ashley, 2009. "Estimating the Value of an Early-Warning System," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 303-329, June.

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