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Taxing Fossil Fuels under Speculative Storage

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  • Semih Tumen
  • Deren Unalmis
  • Ibrahim Unalmis
  • Ms. Filiz D Unsal

Abstract

This paper investigates the mechanisms through which environmental taxes on fossil fuel usage can affect the main macroeconomic variables in the short-run. We concentrate on a particular mechanism: speculative storage. The existence of forward-looking speculators in the model improves the effectiveness of tax policies in reducing fossil fuel usage. Improved policy effectiveness, however, is costly: it drives inflation and interest rates up, while impeding output. Based on this tradeoff, we seek an answer to the question how monetary policy should interact with environmental tax policies in our DSGE model of fossil fuel storage.

Suggested Citation

  • Semih Tumen & Deren Unalmis & Ibrahim Unalmis & Ms. Filiz D Unsal, 2014. "Taxing Fossil Fuels under Speculative Storage," IMF Working Papers 2014/228, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/228
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    2. Argentiero, Amedeo & Bollino, Carlo Andrea & Micheli, Silvia & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2018. "Renewable energy sources policies in a Bayesian DSGE model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 60-68.
    3. Huang, Bihong & Punzi, Maria Teresa & Wu, Yu, 2021. "Do banks price environmental transition risks? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Al Aali-Bujari & Francisco Venegas-Mart nez & Roberto J. Santill n-Salgado, 2018. "On the Stock Market-Electricity Sector Nexus in Latin America: A Dynamic Panel Data Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 148-154.
    5. Huang, Bihong & Punzi, Maria Teresa & Wu, Yu, 2019. "Do Banks Price Environmental Risk? Evidence from a Quasi Natural Experiment in the People’s Republic of China," ADBI Working Papers 974, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    6. Vincent Bodart & François Courtoy & Erica Perego, 2021. "World Interest Rates and Macroeconomic Adjustments in Developing Commodity Producing Countries," Working Papers 2021-01, CEPII research center.
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    8. Chen, Zi-yue & Nie, Pu-yan, 2016. "Effects of carbon tax on social welfare: A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1607-1615.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; monetary policy; Fossil fuel; environmental taxes; speculative storage; DSGE; inflation indexation parameter; storage demand; energy price inflation; minimization problem; capital adjustment cost; demand shock; fossil fuel storage; consumption basket; consumption goods; CPI rise; storage facility; cost minimization problem; Non-renewable resources; Renewable energy; Consumption; Inflation; South America; Middle East;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth

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