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The FDI-Growth Nexus in Latin America: The Role of Source Countries and Local Conditions

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  • Patricia Prüfer
  • Gabriele Tondl

Abstract

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has surged in Latin America (LA) since the mid 1990s. European and North American FDI is of capital importance. We investigate the FDI-growth nexus in LA allowing for different source countries, regional heterogeneity, more than 20 growth determinants, and interaction terms with FDI. We use Bayesian Model Averaging to address model uncertainty and to select the best models and most robust parameters. The principal finding is that a positive FDI-growth nexus in LA requires a functioning legal framework and macroeconomic stability. We also find that European FDI is only indirectly correlated with productivity growth, whereas North American FDI is more robust and, thus, directly correlated with productivity growth.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade in its series DEGIT Conference Papers with number c014_025.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:deg:conpap:c014_025

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Keywords: FDI-growth nexus; Latin America; Model uncertainty; Bayesian model averaging;

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Gabriele Tondl & Jorge A. Fornero, 2010. "Sectoral productivity and spillover effects of FDI in Latin America," FIW Working Paper series 053, FIW.
  2. Magnus, Jan R. & Powell, Owen & Prüfer, Patricia, 2010. "A comparison of two model averaging techniques with an application to growth empirics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 139-153, February.
  3. Magnus, J.R. & Powell, O.R. & Prüfer, P., 2008. "A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics," Discussion Paper 2008-39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  4. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Gabriele Tondl, 2011. "Do determinants of FDI to developing countries differ among OECD investors? Insights from Bayesian Model Averaging," FIW Working Paper series 076, FIW.
  5. Alguacil, M. & Cuadros, A. & Orts, V., 2011. "Inward FDI and growth: The role of macroeconomic and institutional environment," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 481-496, May.

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