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Content
2006
- 2006-32 Moderate inflation and the deflation-depression link
by Jess Benhabib & Mark M. Spiegel - 2006-31 Revealing the secrets of the temple: the value of publishing central bank interest rate projections
by Glenn D. Rudebusch & John C. Williams - 2006-30 Monetary policy in a low inflation economy with learning
by John C. Williams - 2006-29 Information and communications technology as a general-purpose technology: evidence from U.S industry data
by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald - 2006-28 Measuring oil-price shocks using market-based information
by Michele Cavallo & Tao Wu - 2006-27 Safe and sound banking, 20 years later: what was proposed and what has been adopted
by Frederick T. Furlong & Simon H. Kwan - 2006-26 Aggregate shocks or aggregate information? costly information and business cycle comovement
by Laura Veldkamp & Justin Wolfers - 2006-25 FDI spillovers and firm ownership in China: labor markets and backward linkages
by Galina Hale & Cheryl Long - 2006-24 Endogenous skill bias in technology adoption: city-level evidence from the IT revolution
by Paul Beaudry & Mark Doms & Ethan Lewis - 2006-23 Futures prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy
by Monika Piazzesi & Eric T. Swanson - 2006-22 The frequency of price adjustment and New Keynesian business cycle dynamics
by Richard Dennis - 2006-21 Sovereign debt crises and credit to the private sector
by Carlos Arteta & Galina Hale - 2006-20 The Relative Price and Relative Productivity Channels for Aggregate Fluctuations
by Eric T. Swanson - 2006-19 Quantitative Easing and Japanese Bank Equity Values
by Takeshi Kobayashi & Mark M. Spiegel & Nobuyoshi Yamori - 2006-18 Labor Supply and Personal Computer Adoption
by Mark Doms & Ethan Lewis - 2006-17 Measuring the Miracle: Market Imperfections and Asia’s Growth Experience
by John G. Fernald & Brent Neiman - 2006-16 The Bond Yield “Conundrum” from a Macro-Finance Perspective
by Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson & Tao Wu - 2006-14 Inflation Targeting under Imperfect Knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2006-12 Keeping Up with the Joneses and Staying Ahead of the Smiths: Evidence from Suicide Data
by Mary C. Daly & Daniel J. Wilson - 2006-11 Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
by Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz - 2006-09 Does Inflation Targeting Anchor Long-Run Inflation Expectations? Evidence from Long-Term Bond Yields in the U.S., U.K., and Sweden
by Refet S. Gürkaynak & Andrew T. Levin & Eric T. Swanson - 2006-08 Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
by Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz - 2006-06 Five Open Questions about Prediction Markets
by Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz - 2006-04 Market-Based Measures of Monetary Policy Expectations
by Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson - 2006-03 Could Capital Gains Smooth a Current Account Rebalancing?
by Michele Cavallo & Cédric Tille - 2006-01 Higher-Order Perturbation Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models
by Gary S. Anderson & Andrew T. Levin & Eric T. Swanson - 2005-20 Robust Control with Commitment: A Modification to Hansen-Sargent
by Richard Dennis - 2005-18 Relative Productivity Growth and the Secular “Decline” of U.S. Manufacturing
by Milton H. Marquis & Bharat Trehan - 2005-10 Maintenance Expenditures and Indeterminacy under Increasing Returns to Scale
by Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing - 2004-21 Investment Behavior of U.S. Firms over Heterogeneous Capital Goods: A Snapshot
by Daniel J. Wilson
2005
- 2006-36 Dual labor markets and business cycles
by David Cook & Hiromi Nosaka - 2006-07 Pegged exchange rate regimes -- a trap?
by Joshua Aizenman & Reuven Glick - 2006-05 Sovereign Debt, Volatility, and Insurance
by Kenneth M. Kletzer - 2006-02 Monetary Policy Shocks, Inventory Dynamics, and Price-setting Behavior
by Yongseung Jung & Tack Yun - 2005-26 Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk
by Refet S. Gürkaynak & Justin Wolfers - 2005-25 Why Has the U.S. Beveridge Curve Shifted Back? New Evidence Using Regional Data
by Robert G. Valletta - 2005-24 Optimal Nonlinear Policy: Signal Extraction with a Non-Normal Prior
by Eric T. Swanson - 2005-23 Markov Perfect Industry Dynamics with Many Firms
by C. Lanier Benkard & Benjamin Van Roy & Gabriel Y. Weintraub - 2005-22 Empirical Analysis of the Average Asset Correlation for Real Estate Investment Trusts
by Jose A. Lopez - 2005-19 Monetary Policy Inertia: Fact or Fiction?
by Glenn D. Rudebusch - 2005-17 Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2005-16 Government Employment Expenditure and the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks
by Michele Cavallo - 2005-15 Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models
by Andrew T. Levin & Alexei Onatski & John C. Williams & Noah Williams - 2005-14 The Value of Knowledge Spillovers
by Yi Deng - 2005-13 Tradability, Productivity, and Understanding International Economic Integration
by Paul R. Bergin & Reuven Glick - 2005-12 The IMF in a World of Private Capital Markets
by Barry Eichengreen & Kenneth M. Kletzer & Ashoka Mody - 2005-11 Collateral Damage: Trade Disruption and the Economic Impact of War
by Reuven Glick & Alan M. Taylor - 2005-09 How Have Borrowers Fared in Banking Mega-mergers?
by Kenneth A. Carow & Edward J. Kane & Rajesh P. Narayanan - 2005-07 Exchange Rate Overshooting and the Costs of Floating
by Michele Cavallo & Kate Kisselev & Fabrizio Perri & Nouriel Roubini - 2005-06 Alternative Measures of the Federal Reserve Banks’ Cost of Equity Capital
by Michelle L. Barnes & Jose A. Lopez - 2005-05 Offshore Financial Centers: Parasites or Symbionts?
by Andrew K. Rose & Mark M. Spiegel - 2005-04 Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics
by Francis X. Diebold & Monika Piazzesi & Glenn D. Rudebusch - 2005-03 Government Consumption Expenditures and the Current Account
by Michele Cavallo - 2005-02 On Using Relative Prices to Measure Capital Specific Technological Progress
by Milton H. Marquis & Bharat Trehan - 2004-25 Accounting for a Shift in Term Structure Behavior with No-Arbitrage and Macro-Finance Models
by Glenn D. Rudebusch & Tao Wu - 2004-24 North-South Technological Diffusion and Dynamic Gains from Trade
by Michelle P. Connolly & Diego Valderrama - 2004-23 Implications of Intellectual Property Rights for Dynamic Gains from Trade
by Michelle P. Connolly & Diego Valderrama - 2004-17 Specifying and Estimating New Keynesian Models with Instrument Rules and Optimal Monetary Policies
by Richard Dennis - 2004-16 Asset Price Declines and Real Estate Market Illiquidity: Evidence from Japanese Land Values
by John Krainer & Mark M. Spiegel & Nobuyoshi Yamori - 2004-15 Currency Crises, Capital Account Liberalization, and Selection Bias
by Reuven Glick & Xueyan Guo & Michael M. Hutchison - 2004-06 Lock-in of Extrapolative Expectations in an Asset Pricing Model
by Kevin J. Lansing - 2003-09 Endogenous Tradability and Macroeconomic Implications
by Paul R. Bergin & Reuven Glick - 2002-06 Macro Factors and the Affine Term Structure of Interest Rates
by Tao Wu - 2001-09 Optimal Policy Rules in Rational-Expectations Models: New Solution Algorithms
by Richard Dennis
2004
- 2005-01 The Welfare Consequences of ATM Surcharges: Evidence from a Structural Entry Model
by Gautam Gowrisankaran & John Krainer - 2004-35 Dollar Bloc or Dollar Block: External Currency Pricing and the East Asian Crisis
by David Cook & Michael B. Devereux - 2004-34 Private Capital Flows, Capital Controls, and Default Risk
by Mark L. J. Wright - 2004-33 Putting the Brakes on Sudden Stops: The Financial Frictions-Moral Hazard Tradeoff of Asset Price Guarantees
by Bora Durdu & Enrique G. Mendoza - 2004-31 Defaultable Debt, Interest Rates, and the Current Account
by Mark Aguiar & Gita Gopinath - 2004-30 Monetary Policy and the Currency Denomination of Debt: A Tale of Two Equilibria
by Roberto Chang & Andres Velasco - 2004-29 How Do Trade and Financial Integration Affect the Relationship between Growth and Volatility?
by M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar S. Prasad & Marco E. Terrones - 2004-28 When in Peril, Retrench: Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion
by Fernando Broner & Gaston Gelos & Carmen M. Reinhart - 2004-27 Market Price Accounting and Depositor Discipline in Japanese Regional Banks
by Mark M. Spiegel & Nobuyoshi Yamori - 2004-26 Deposit Insurance, Regulatory Forbearance and Economic Growth: Implications for the Japanese Banking Crisis
by Robert Dekle & Kenneth M. Kletzer - 2004-22 Using a Long-Term Interest Rate as the Monetary Policy Instrument
by Bruce McGough & Glenn D. Rudebusch & John C. Williams - 2004-20 Financial Contracting and the Choice between Private Placement and Publicly Offered Bonds
by Willard T. Carleton & Simon H. Kwan - 2004-19 Testing the Strong Form of Market Discipline: The Effects of Public Market Signals on Bank Risk
by Simon H. Kwan - 2004-18 The Ins and Outs of Poverty in Advanced Economies: Poverty Dynamics in Canada, Germany, Great Britain, and the United States
by Robert G. Valletta - 2004-14 Transition Dynamics in Vintage Capital Models: Explaining the Postwar Catch-Up of Germany and Japan
by Simon Gilchrist & John C. Williams - 2004-12 Why the Apple Doesn't Fall Far: Understanding Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital
by Sandra E. Black & Paul Devereux & Kjell Salvanes - 2004-11 Robust Estimation and Monetary Policy with Unobserved Structural Change
by John C. Williams - 2004-10 Time-Varying Equilibrium Real Rates and Monetary Policy Analysis
by Bharat Trehan & Tao Wu - 2004-09 Consumer Sentiment, the Economy, and the News Media
by Mark Doms & Norman J. Morin - 2004-08 Productivity, Tradability, and the Long-Run Price Puzzle
by Paul R. Bergin & Reuven Glick & Alan M. Taylor - 2004-07 Monetary and Financial Integration: Evidence from Portuguese Borrowing Patterns
by Mark M. Spiegel - 2004-05 Using Securities Market Information for Bank Supervisory Monitoring
by John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez - 2004-04 Learning and Shifts in Long-Run Productivity Growth
by Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams - 2004-03 Evaluating Interest Rate Covariance Models within a Value-at-Risk Framework
by Miguel A. Ferreira & Jose A. Lopez - 2004-02 The Improving Relative Status of Black Men
by Kenneth A. Couch & Mary C. Daly - 2003-18 The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Nonstructural Analysis
by S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch - 2003-03 Mortgages as Recursive Contracts
by John Krainer & Milton H. Marquis
2003
- 2004-32 Country Spreads and Emerging Countries: Who Drives Whom?
by Martin Uribe & Vivian Z. Yue - 2004-01 Does Regional Economic Performance Affect Bank Conditions? New Analysis of an Old Question
by Mary C. Daly & John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez - 2003-24 The Decline of Activist Stabilization Policy: Natural Rate Misperceptions, Learning, and Expectations
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2003-23 What's Driving the New Economy?: The Benefits of Workplace Innovation
by Sandra E. Black & Lisa M. Lynch - 2003-22 How Workers Fare When Employers Innovate
by Sandra E. Black & Anya Krivelyova & Lisa M. Lynch - 2003-21 The Responses of Wages and Prices to Technology Shocks
by Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams - 2003-20 How Fast Do Personal Computers Depreciate? Concepts and New Estimates
by Mark Doms & Wendy E. Dunn & Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel - 2003-19 IT investment and firm performance in U.S. retail trade
by Mark Doms & Ron S. Jarmin & Shawn D. Klimek - 2003-17 A Macro-Finance Model of the Term Structure, Monetary Policy, and the Economy
by Glenn D. Rudebusch & Tao Wu - 2003-16 New Keynesian Optimal Policy Models: An Empirical Assessment
by Richard Dennis - 2003-15 Communications Equipment: What Has Happened to Prices?
by Mark Doms - 2003-14 When Do Matched-Model and Hedonic Techniques Yield Similar Measures?
by Ana M. Aizcorbe & Carol Corrado & Mark Doms - 2003-13 Prices for Local Area Network Equipment
by Mark Doms & Chris Forman - 2003-12 Left Behind: SSI in the Era of Welfare Reform
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly - 2003-11 Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2003-10 Robust Monetary Policy with Competing Reference Models
by Andrew T. Levin & John C. Williams - 2003-08 Military Expenditure, Threats, and Growth
by Joshua Aizenman & Reuven Glick - 2003-07 Currency Boards, Dollarized Liabilities, and Monetary Policy Credibility
by Mark M. Spiegel & Diego Valderrama - 2003-06 Institutional Efficiency, Monitoring Costs, and the Investment Share of FDI
by Joshua Aizenman & Mark M. Spiegel - 2003-05 Inferring Policy Objectives from Economic Outcome
by Richard Dennis - 2003-04 Importing Technology
by Francesco Caselli & Daniel J. Wilson - 2002-11 A Model of Endogenous Nontradability and its Implications for Current Account
by Paul R. Bergin & Reuven Glick - 2002-07 Monetary Policy and the Slope Factors in Empirical Term Structure Estimations
by Tao Wu - 2001-10 Some Implications of Using Prices to Measure Productivity in a Two-Sector Growth Model
by Milton H. Marquis & Bharat Trehan - 2001-03 Forward-Looking Behavior and the Optimality of the Taylor Rule
by Kevin J. Lansing & Bharat Trehan
2002
- 2024-22 Phillips Meets Beveridge
by Régis Barnichon & Adam Hale Shapiro - 2003-02 Human Capital and Technology Diffusion
by Jess Benhabib & Mark M. Spiegel - 2003-01 Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2002-24 Employment Declines Among People with Disabilities: Population Movements, Isolated Experience, or Broad Policy Concern?
by Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville - 2002-23 Nonlinearities in International Business Cycles
by Diego Valderrama - 2002-22 Self-Reported Work Limitation Data: What They Can and Cannot Tell Us
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville & Nigar Nargis - 2002-20 The Supplemental Security Income Program
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly - 2002-19 Exploring the Role of the Real Exchange Rate in Australian Monetary Policy
by Richard Dennis - 2002-18 Bayesian Inference for Hospital Quality in a Selection Model
by John Geweke & Gautam Gowrisankaran & Robert J. Town - 2002-17 Learning and the Value of Information: The Case of Health Plan Report Cards
by Michael Chernew & Gautam Gowrisankaran & Dennis P. Scanlon - 2002-16 Network Externalities and Technology Adoption: Lessons from Electronic Payments
by Gautam Gowrisankaran & Joanna Stavins - 2002-15 The Impact of Financial Frictions on a Small Open Economy: When Current Account Borrowing Hits a Limit
by Diego Valderrama - 2002-13 Statistical Nonlinearities in the Business Cycle: A Challenge for the Canonical RBC Model
by Diego Valderrama - 2002-12 Estimating the Euler equation for output
by Jeffrey C. Fuhrer & Glenn D. Rudebusch - 2002-10 How Important Is Precommitment for Monetary Policy?
by Richard Dennis & Ulf Soderstrom - 2002-09 A Gravity Model of Sovereign Lending: Trade, Default and Credit
by Andrew K. Rose & Mark M. Spiegel - 2002-05 The Empirical Relationship between Average Asset Correlation, Firm Probability of Default and Asset Size
by Jose A. Lopez - 2002-04 Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2002-03 Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach
by Simon Gilchrist & John C. Williams - 2002-02 Assessing the Lucas Critique in Monetary Policy Models
by Glenn D. Rudebusch - 2002-01 Operating Performance of Banks Among Asian Economies: An International and Time Series Comparison
by Simon H. Kwan - 2001-11 Impact of Deposit Rate Deregulation in Hong Kong on the Market Value of Commercial Banks
by Simon H. Kwan
2001
- 2002-21 United States Disability Policy in a Changing Environment
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly - 2002-14 The X-Efficiency of Commercial Banks in Hong Kong
by Simon H. Kwan - 2002-08 Stylized Facts on Nominal Term Structure and Business Cycles: An Empirical VAR Study
by Tao Wu - 2001-20 The Employment of Working-Age People with Disabilities in the 1980s and the 1990s: What Current Data Can and Cannot Tell Us
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville & Nigar Nargis - 2001-19 Precommitment, the Timeless Perspective, and Policymaking from Behind a Veil of Uncertainty
by Richard Dennis - 2001-18 Embodying Embodiment in a Structural, Macroeconomic Input-Output Model
by Daniel J. Wilson - 2001-17 Is Embodied Technology the Result of Upstream R&D? Industry-Level Evidence
by Daniel J. Wilson - 2001-16 Quantifying Embodied Technological Change
by Plutarchos Sakellaris & Daniel J. Wilson - 2001-15 Small Business and Computers: Adoption and Performance
by Marianne P. Bitler - 2001-14 Incorporating Equity Market Information into Supervisory Monitoring Models
by John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez - 2001-13 Does a Currency Union Affect Trade? The Time Series Evidence
by Reuven Glick & Andrew K. Rose - 2001-12 The Disposition of Failed Bank Assets: Put Guarantees or Loss-Sharing Arrangements
by Mark M. Spiegel - 2001-08 The Policy Preferences of the U.S. Federal Reserve
by Richard Dennis - 2001-07 Economic Outcomes of Working-Age People with Disabilities over the Business Cycle: An Examination of the 1980s and 1990s
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville & Nigar Nargis - 2001-05 Solvency Runs, Sunspot Runs, and International Bailouts
by Mark M. Spiegel - 2001-04 Inflation Taxes, Financial Intermediation, and Home Production
by Milton H. Marquis - 2001-02 Term Structure Evidence on Interest Rate Smoothing and Monetary Policy Inertia
by Glenn D. Rudebusch - 2001-01 The Federal Reserve Banks' Imputed Cost of Equity Capital
by Edward J. Green & Jose A. Lopez & Zhenyu Wang - 2000-18 Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns: Evidence and Implications
by Gregory R. Duffee
2000
- 2001-06 The Supplemental Security Income Program
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly - 2000-21 Evaluating Covariance Matrix Forecasts in a Value-at-Risk Framework
by Jose A. Lopez & Christian Walter - 2000-20 Optimal Simple Targeting Rules for Small Open Economies
by Richard Dennis - 2000-19 Term Premia and Interest Rate Forecasts in Affine Models
by Gregory R. Duffee - 2000-16 Learning About a Shift in Trend Output: Implications for Monetary Policy and Inflation
by Kevin J. Lansing - 2000-15 Growth Effects of Shifting from a Progressive Tax System to a Flat Tax
by Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing - 2000-14 Solving for Optimal Simple Rules in Rational-Expectations Models
by Richard Dennis - 2000-13 Steps Toward Identifying Central Bank Policy Preferences
by Richard Dennis - 2000-12 Testing Present Value Models of the Current Account: A Cautionary Note
by Kenneth Kasa - 2000-11 A Robust Hansen-Sargent Prediction Formula
by Kenneth Kasa - 2000-10 Learning, Large Deviations, and Recurrent Currency Crises
by Kenneth Kasa - 2000-09 Instability under Nominal GDP Targeting: The Role of Expectations
by Richard Dennis - 2000-08 Bank Intermediation and Persistent Liquidity Effects in the Presence of a Frictionless Bond Market
by Tor Einarsson & Milton H. Marquis - 2000-07 Black-White Wage Inequality in the 1990s: A Decade of Progress
by Kenneth A. Couch & Mary C. Daly - 2000-06 Inequality and Poverty in the United States: The Effects of Rising Male Wage Dispersion and Changing Family Behavior
by Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta - 2000-05 Common Shocks and Currency Crises
by Ramon Moreno & Bharat Trehan - 2000-04 Union Effects on Health Insurance Provision and Coverage in the United States
by Thomas C. Buchmueller & John DiNardo & Robert G. Valletta - 2000-03 Assessing Nominal Income Rules for Monetary Policy with Model and Data Uncertainty
by Glenn D. Rudebusch - 2000-02 Is Implied Correlation Worth Calculating? Evidence from Foreign Exchange Options and Historical Data
by Jose A. Lopez & Christian Walter - 2000-01 The Potential Diversification and Failure Reduction Benefits of Bank Expansion into Nonbanking Activities
by Elizabeth Laderman
1999
- 99-14 Model uncertainty, robust policies, and the value of commitment
by Kenneth Kasa - 99-13 Eurosystem monetary targeting: lessons from U.S. data
by Glenn D. Rudebusch & Lars E. O. Svensson - 99-12 Housing price cycles and prepayment rates of U.S. mortgage pools
by Joe P. Mattey & Nancy Wallace