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Do mutual funds time the market? Evidence from portfolio holdings

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Cited by:

  1. Mahfooz Alam & Valeed Ahmad Ansari, 0. "Mutual fund managers’ market timing abilities: Indian evidence," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 0, pages 1-13.
  2. Frank, Murray Z. & Nezafat, Mahdi, 2019. "Testing the credit-market-timing hypothesis using counterfactual issuing dates," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 187-207.
  3. Jezek, M., 2009. "Passive Investors, Active Traders and Strategic Delegation of Price Discovery," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0951, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  4. Campbell R. Harvey & Yan Liu, 2022. "Luck versus Skill in the Cross Section of Mutual Fund Returns: Reexamining the Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(3), pages 1921-1966, June.
  5. Angelidis, Timotheos & Giamouridis, Daniel & Tessaromatis, Nikolaos, 2013. "Revisiting mutual fund performance evaluation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1759-1776.
  6. Francis In & Sangbae Kim & Philip I Ji, 2014. "On timing ability in Australian managed funds," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 39(1), pages 93-106, February.
  7. Wang, Xiaoxiao & Zhang, Xueyong, 2024. "Bank affiliation and timing ability of mutual funds: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
  8. Tchamyou, Vanessa S. & Asongu, Simplice A., 2017. "Conditional market timing in the mutual fund industry," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1355-1366.
  9. Agarwal, Vikas & Gay, Gerald D. & Ling, Leng, 2011. "Window dressing in mutual funds," CFR Working Papers 11-07, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  10. Jung‐Soon Shin & Minki Kim & Dongjun Oh & Tong Suk Kim, 2019. "Do hedge funds time market tail risk? Evidence from option‐implied tail risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 205-237, February.
  11. Cao, Charles & Simin, Timothy T. & Wang, Ying, 2013. "Do mutual fund managers time market liquidity?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 279-307.
  12. Agarwal, Vikas & Gay, Gerald D. & Ling, Leng, 2012. "Performance inconsistency in mutual funds: An investigation of window-dressing behavior," CFR Working Papers 11-07 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  13. Savov, Alexi, 2014. "The price of skill: Performance evaluation by households," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 213-231.
  14. Alexis Direr & Eric Yayi, 2014. "Les choix de portefeuille des épargnants sur le cycle boursier et le cycle de vie," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 472(1), pages 125-152.
  15. Hunter, David & Kandel, Eugene & Kandel, Shmuel & Wermers, Russ, 2014. "Mutual fund performance evaluation with active peer benchmarks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 1-29.
  16. Kee‐Hong Bae & Junesuh Yi, 2008. "The Impact of the Short‐Short Rule Repeal on the Timing Ability of Mutual Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(7‐8), pages 969-997, September.
  17. Mahfooz Alam & Valeed Ahmad Ansari, 2020. "Mutual fund managers’ market timing abilities: Indian evidence," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 342-354, July.
  18. Sebastian Bunnenberg & Martin Rohleder & Hendrik Scholz & Marco Wilkens, 2019. "Jensen's alpha and the market‐timing puzzle," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(2), pages 234-255, April.
  19. David A. Mascio & Frank J. Fabozzi & J. Kenton Zumwalt, 2021. "Market timing using combined forecasts and machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 1-16, January.
  20. Gimeno, Ruth & Andreu, Laura & Sarto, José Luis, 2022. "Fund trading divergence and performance contribution," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  21. Ferson, Wayne E., 2013. "Investment Performance: A Review and Synthesis," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 969-1010, Elsevier.
  22. Antonio Gargano & Alberto G. Rossi & Russ Wermers, 2017. "The Freedom of Information Act and the Race Toward Information Acquisition," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(6), pages 2179-2228.
  23. Matallin-Saez Juan Carlos, 2008. "The Dynamics of Mutual Funds and Market Timing Measurement," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(4), pages 1-37, December.
  24. Dayani, Arash, 2022. "CEO inside debt and mutual fund investment decisions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  25. Alexander Franck & Andreas Walter & Johannes Witt, 2013. "Momentum strategies of German mutual funds," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 27(3), pages 307-332, September.
  26. David A. Mascio & Marat Molyboga & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "The battle of the factors: Macroeconomic variables or investor sentiment?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2280-2291, December.
  27. Matallín-Sáez, Juan Carlos, 2015. "A note on market timing: Interim trading and the performance of holdings-based and return-based measures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 90-99.
  28. Ding, Jing & Jiang, Lei & Liu, Xiaohui & Peng, Liang, 2023. "Nonparametric tests for market timing ability using daily mutual fund returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  29. Zhengnan Yin & Niall O’Sullivan & Meadhbh Sherman, 2024. "The market timing ability of bond mutual funds," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(5), pages 508-527, September.
  30. Cai, Biqing & Cheng, Tingting & Yan, Cheng, 2018. "Time-varying skills (versus luck) in U.S. active mutual funds and hedge funds," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 81-106.
  31. Venessa S. Tchamyou & Simplice A. Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu, 2018. "Effects of asymmetric information on market timing in the mutual fund industry," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(5), pages 542-557, May.
  32. Gianni Amisano & Roberto Savona, 2007. "Imperfect Predictability and Mutual Fund Dynamics: How Managers Use Predictors in Changing Systematic Risk," Working Papers 0706, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  33. Laura Andreu & Laurens Swinkels, 2012. "Performance evaluation of balanced pension plans," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(5), pages 819-830, March.
  34. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric & Zhang, Ruiyi, 2018. "Sentiment hedging: How hedge funds adjust their exposure to market sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 147-160.
  35. Ashiq Ali & Xuanjuan Chen & Tong Yao & Tong Yu, 2008. "Do Mutual Funds Profit from the Accruals Anomaly?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(1), pages 1-26, March.
  36. Chen, Li-Wen & Adams, Andrew & Taffler, Richard, 2013. "What style-timing skills do mutual fund “stars” possess?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 156-173.
  37. Jennifer Huang & Clemens Sialm & Hanjiang Zhang, 2011. "Risk Shifting and Mutual Fund Performance," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(8), pages 2575-2616.
  38. Jon A. Fulkerson, 2013. "Is Timing Everything? The Value of Mutual Fund Manager Trades," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 42(2), pages 243-261, June.
  39. Mikhail Simutin, 2014. "Cash Holdings and Mutual Fund Performance," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(4), pages 1425-1464.
  40. Hasan F. Baklaci & William I-Wei Cheng & Jianing Zhang, 2024. "Performance Attributes of Environmental, Social, and Governance Exchange-Traded Funds," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(2), pages 307-334, June.
  41. Ruixue Jing & Ryota Kobayashi & Luis Enrique Correa Rocha, 2025. "Optimising cryptocurrency portfolios through stable clustering of price correlation networks," Papers 2505.24831, arXiv.org.
  42. Manuel Ammann & Sebastian Fischer & Florian Weigert, 2018. "Risk Factor Exposure Variation and Mutual Fund Performance," Working Papers on Finance 1817, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Nov 2018.
  43. Agarwal, Vikas & Gay, Gerald D. & Ling, Leng, 2013. "Window dressing in mutual funds," CFR Working Papers 11-07 [rev.2], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  44. Keith Cuthbertson & Dirk Nitzsche & Niall O'Sullivan, 2010. "Mutual Fund Performance: Measurement and Evidence," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(2), pages 95-187, May.
  45. Zhengnan Yin & Niall O’Sullivan & Meadhbh Sherman, 2024. "The performance of asset allocation mutual funds," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 38(4), pages 465-514, December.
  46. Xiaoyi Shen & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2019. "Volatility Timing in CPF Investment Funds in Singapore: Do They Outperform Non-CPF Funds?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-16, October.
  47. Jing-Zhi Huang & Ying Wang, 2014. "Timing Ability of Government Bond Fund Managers: Evidence from Portfolio Holdings," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(8), pages 2091-2109, August.
  48. Campbell R. Harvey & Yan Liu, 2020. "False (and Missed) Discoveries in Financial Economics," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(5), pages 2503-2553, October.
  49. Zhong Chu & Zhengwei Wang & Jing Jian Xiao & Weiqiang Zhang, 2017. "Financial Literacy, Portfolio Choice and Financial Well-Being," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 132(2), pages 799-820, June.
  50. Wattanatorn, Woraphon & Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth & Chunhachinda, Pornchai & Nathaphan, Sarayut, 2020. "Mutual fund liquidity timing ability in the higher moment framework," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  51. Lan, Chunhua & Moneta, Fabio & Wermers, Russ, 2018. "Holding Horizon: A New Measure of Active Investment Management," CFR Working Papers 15-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR), revised 2018.
  52. Kee-Hong Bae & Junesuh Yi, 2008. "The Impact of the Short-Short Rule Repeal on the Timing Ability of Mutual Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(7-8), pages 969-997.
  53. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric & Bai, Yidan, 2021. "Timing market confidence in the Chinese domestic security market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 298-311.
  54. Cai, Yu & Lau, Sie Ting, 2015. "Informed trading around earnings and mutual fund alphas," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 168-180.
  55. Wayne Ferson & Junbo L Wang, 2021. "A Panel Regression Approach to Holdings-Based Fund Performance Measures [Multiperiod performance persistence analysis of hedge funds]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 695-734.
  56. Tung-Yueh Pai & Yen-Hsien Lee, 2018. "Industry Herding, Spillover Index and Investment Strategy," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(6), pages 1-6.
  57. Wei Rong Ang & Greg N Gregoriou & Hooi Hooi Lean, 2014. "Market-timing skills of socially responsible investment fund managers: The case of North America versus Europe," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(6), pages 366-377, December.
  58. Massimiliano Affinito & Raffaele Santioni, 2021. "When the panic broke out: COVID-19 and investment funds' portfolio rebalancing around the world," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1342, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  59. Clare, Andrew & Sherman, Meadhbh Brid & Thomas, Steve, 2016. "Multi-asset class mutual funds: Can they time the market? Evidence from the US, UK and Canada," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 212-221.
  60. Keith Cuthbertson & Simon Hayley & Dirk Nitzsche, 2016. "Market and Style Timing: German Equity and Bond Funds," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(4), pages 667-696, September.
  61. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric & Zu, Dingding, 2024. "Timing sentiment with style: Evidence from mutual funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
  62. Xiangang Xin & P. Eric Yeung & Zilong Zhang, 2024. "Wrong Kind of Transparency? Mutual Funds’ Higher Reporting Frequency, Window Dressing, and Performance," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(2), pages 737-781, May.
  63. Li, Chenlu & Li, Baibing & Tee, Kai-Hong, 2020. "Are hedge funds active market liquidity timers?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  64. Soumaya Ben Khelife & Christian Urom & Khaled Guesmi & Ramzi Benkraiem, 2022. "American hedge funds industry, market timing and COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(5), pages 390-399, September.
  65. Lean, Hooi Hooi & Ang, Wei Rong & Smyth, Russell, 2015. "Performance and performance persistence of socially responsible investment funds in Europe and North America," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 254-266.
  66. Nicolas P.B. Bollen & Robert E. Whaley, 2009. "Hedge Fund Risk Dynamics: Implications for Performance Appraisal," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(2), pages 985-1035, April.
  67. Agarwal, Vikas & Mullally, Kevin & Tang, Yuehua & Yang, Baozhong, 2013. "Mandatory portfolio disclosure, stock liquidity, and mutual fund performance," CFR Working Papers 13-04, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  68. Chen, Jie & Lasfer, Meziane & Song, Wei & Zhou, Si, 2021. "Recession managers and mutual fund performance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  69. Jenkinson, Tim & Morkoetter, Stefan & Schori, Tobias & Wetzer, Thomas, 2022. "Buy low, sell high? Do private equity fund managers have market timing abilities?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  70. Stéphane Chrétien & Frank Coggins & Félix d’Amours, 2016. "The Performance of Market Timing Measures in a Simulated Environment," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(3), pages 1153-1187.
  71. Teodor Dyakov & Marno Verbeek, 2019. "Can Mutual Fund Investors Distinguish Good from Bad Managers?," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 505-540, September.
  72. Russ Wermers & Tong Yao & Jane Zhao, 2012. "Forecasting Stock Returns Through an Efficient Aggregation of Mutual Fund Holdings," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(12), pages 3490-3529.
  73. Antypas, Antonios & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Kourogenis, Nikolaos & Pittis, Nikitas, 2020. "Estimation of conditional asset pricing models with integrated variables in the beta specification," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  74. Herrmann, Ulf & Scholz, Hendrik, 2013. "Short-term persistence in hybrid mutual fund performance: The role of style-shifting abilities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2314-2328.
  75. Guy Metcalfe, 2017. "The Mathematics of Market Timing," Papers 1712.05031, arXiv.org.
  76. Wattanatorn, Woraphon & Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth, 2021. "Cokurtosis and the Ability of Mutual Fund Managers," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  77. Yao Zheng & Eric Osmer & Liancun Zheng, 2020. "Can mutual funds time investor sentiment?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1449-1486, May.
  78. Liu, Yuekun & Riley, Timothy B., 2025. "How should we measure the performance of corporate bond mutual funds? Evaluating model quality and impact on inferences," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  79. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric & Zheng, Liancun, 2021. "Can mutual fund managers time commonality in stock market misvaluation?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  80. Wang, Yaping & Paek, Miyoun & Ko, Kwangsoo, 2019. "The performance of Chinese equity funds: An extension of DGTW model," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-1.
  81. Cao, Charles & Chen, Yong & Liang, Bing & Lo, Andrew W., 2013. "Can hedge funds time market liquidity?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 493-516.
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  83. Fernando Mu�oz & Ruth Vicente & Luis Ferruz, 2015. "Stock-picking and style-timing abilities: a comparative analysis of conventional and socially responsible mutual funds in the US market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 345-358, February.
  84. Ole‐Kristian Hope & Pingui Rao & Yanping Xu & Heng Yue, 2023. "Information sharing between mutual funds and auditors," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(1-2), pages 152-197, January.
  85. Yi, Li & He, Lei, 2016. "False discoveries in style timing of Chinese mutual funds," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 194-208.
  86. Vikas Agarwal & Kevin A. Mullally & Yuehua Tang & Baozhong Yang, 2015. "Mandatory Portfolio Disclosure, Stock Liquidity, and Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(6), pages 2733-2776, December.
  87. Gregory Connor & Lisa R. Goldberg & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2010. "Portfolio Risk Analysis," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9224.
  88. Guy Metcalfe, 2018. "The mathematics of market timing," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(7), pages 1-12, July.
  89. Yi, Li & Xiao, Li & Liao, Yinkai, 2024. "Network centrality, style drift, and mutual fund performance," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
  90. Ammann, Manuel & Fischer, Sebastian & Weigert, Florian, 2020. "Factor exposure variation and mutual fund performance," CFR Working Papers 20-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  91. Ferson, Wayne & Mo, Haitao, 2016. "Performance measurement with selectivity, market and volatility timing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 93-110.
  92. Yin, Zhengnan & O’Sullivan, Niall & Sherman, Meadhbh, 2024. "The liquidity timing ability of mutual funds," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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  97. Cuthbertson, Keith & Nitzsche, Dirk, 2013. "Performance, stock selection and market timing of the German equity mutual fund industry," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 86-101.
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  106. Spencer J. Couts, 2024. "How do Non-Core Allocations Affect the Risk and Returns of Private Real Estate Funds?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(4), pages 715-748, May.
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  110. Andreu, Laura & Matallín-Sáez, Juan Carlos & Sarto, José Luis, 2018. "Mutual fund performance attribution and market timing using portfolio holdings," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 353-370.
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  113. Akshatha Suvarna, 2022. "Timing and Selectivity Performance of Mutual Fund Managers: Application of Conditional Models to Indian Equity Diversified Mutual funds," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 11(1), pages 81-98, June.
  114. Onur Kemal Tosun & Liang Jin & Richard Taffler & Arman Eshraghi, 2022. "Fund manager skill: selling matters more!," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 969-994, October.
  115. Bodson, Laurent & Cavenaile, Laurent & Sougné, Danielle, 2013. "A global approach to mutual funds market timing ability," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 96-101.
  116. Elyasiani, Elyas & Rytchkov, Oleg & Stetsyuk, Ivan, 2022. "Do real estate mutual fund managers create value?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 396-406.
  117. Fernando Muñoz & Maria Vargas & Isabel Marco, 2014. "Environmental Mutual Funds: Financial Performance and Managerial Abilities," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 124(4), pages 551-569, November.
  118. Chen, Yong & Ferson, Wayne & Peters, Helen, 2010. "Measuring the timing ability and performance of bond mutual funds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 72-89, October.
  119. Andriy Bodnaruk & Bekhan Chokaev & Andrei Simonov, 2019. "Downside Risk Timing by Mutual Funds," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(1), pages 171-196.
  120. Laura Andreu & Lydia Mateos & José Luis Sarto, 2017. "The Value Added by Trading Based on Valuation Criteria," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 327-352, September.
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  122. Jiang, George J. & Zaynutdinova, Gulnara R. & Zhang, Huacheng, 2021. "Stock-selection timing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  123. Gert Elaut & Michael Frömmel & Alexander Mende, 2017. "Duration Dependence, Behavioral Restrictions, and the Market Timing Ability of Commodity Trading Advisors," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 427-450, September.
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