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Factor exposure variation and mutual fund performance

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  • Ammann, Manuel
  • Fischer, Sebastian
  • Weigert, Florian

Abstract

We investigate the relationship between a mutual fund's variation in factor exposures and its future performance. Using a dynamic state space version of Carhart (1997)'s four factor model to capture factor variation, we find that funds with volatile factor exposures underperform funds with stable factor exposures by 147 basis points p.a. This underperformance is neither explained by volatile factor loadings of a fund's equity holdings nor driven by a fund's forced trading through investor flows. We conclude that fund managers voluntarily attempt to time factors, but they are unsuccessful at doing so.

Suggested Citation

  • Ammann, Manuel & Fischer, Sebastian & Weigert, Florian, 2020. "Factor exposure variation and mutual fund performance," CFR Working Papers 20-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:cfrwps:2006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hendriock, Mario, 2020. "Implied cost of capital and mutual fund performance," CFR Working Papers 20-11, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    2. Agarwal, Vikas & Jiang, Lei & Wen, Quan, 2020. "Why do mutual funds hold lottery stocks?," CFR Working Papers 20-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mutual Fund; Market Timing; Factor Timing; Factor Exposure; Kalman Filter; Underperformance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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