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Can mutual funds time investment styles?

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  • Laurens Swinkels

    (Erasmus School of Economics)

  • Liam Tjong-A-Tjoe

Abstract

We investigate the ability of mutual fund managers to successfully rotate between investment styles based on characteristics such as market capitalisation, valuation ratios, and price momentum. We find evidence in favour of market timing among a group of 153 US-based mutual funds with a Morningstar Midcap/Blend investments style. We also find evidence in favour of mutual funds being able to predict the direction of the valuation and momentum style returns, but not their magnitude. Our results indicate that the mutual funds in our sample were not able to rotate successfully between stocks with small and large market capitalisation.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurens Swinkels & Liam Tjong-A-Tjoe, 2007. "Can mutual funds time investment styles?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(2), pages 123-132, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:assmgt:v:8:y:2007:i:2:d:10.1057_palgrave.jam.2250066
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jam.2250066
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Laura Andreu & Laurens Swinkels, 2012. "Performance evaluation of balanced pension plans," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(5), pages 819-830, March.
    3. Keith Cuthbertson & Simon Hayley & Dirk Nitzsche, 2016. "Market and Style Timing: German Equity and Bond Funds," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(4), pages 667-696, September.
    4. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric & Zu, Dingding, 2024. "Timing sentiment with style: Evidence from mutual funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    5. S. Pavithra & Parthajit Kayal, 2023. "A Study of Investment Style Timing of Mutual Funds in India," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 49-72, March.
    6. Yi, Li & He, Lei, 2016. "False discoveries in style timing of Chinese mutual funds," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 194-208.
    7. Huaizhi Chen & Lauren Cohen & Umit G. Gurun, 2021. "Don't Take Their Word for It: The Misclassification of Bond Mutual Funds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(4), pages 1699-1730, August.
    8. Yi, Li & Liu, Zilan & He, Lei & Qin, Zilong & Gan, Shunli, 2018. "Do Chinese mutual funds time the market?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-19.
    9. Fernando Muñoz & Maria Vargas & Isabel Marco, 2014. "Environmental Mutual Funds: Financial Performance and Managerial Abilities," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 124(4), pages 551-569, November.
    10. David R Gallagher & Peter A Gardner & Camille H Schmidt, 2015. "Style factor timing: An application to the portfolio holdings of US fund managers," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 40(2), pages 318-350, May.
    11. Angelidis, Timotheos & Giamouridis, Daniel & Tessaromatis, Nikolaos, 2013. "Revisiting mutual fund performance evaluation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1759-1776.
    12. Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Soudant, Joey, 2022. "Monetary policy and portfolio rebalancing: Evidence from European equity mutual funds," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    13. Luis Ferruz & Fernando Muñoz & María Vargas, 2012. "Managerial Abilities: Evidence from Religious Mutual Fund Managers," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 105(4), pages 503-517, February.
    14. Li-Wen Chen & Andrew Adams & Richard Taffler, 2010. "What Style-Timing Skills do Mutual Fund Stars Possess?," CFI Discussion Papers 1001, Centre for Finance and Investment, Heriot Watt University.
    15. Chen, Li-Wen & Adams, Andrew & Taffler, Richard, 2013. "What style-timing skills do mutual fund “stars” possess?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 156-173.
    16. Manuel Ammann & Sebastian Fischer & Florian Weigert, 2018. "Risk Factor Exposure Variation and Mutual Fund Performance," Working Papers on Finance 1817, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Nov 2018.
    17. Fernando Muñoz & María Vargas & Ruth Vicente, 2021. "Style-changing behaviour in the socially responsible mutual fund industry: consequences on financial and sustainable performance," Sustainability Accounting, Management and Policy Journal, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(5), pages 1027-1051, February.
    18. Huaizhi Chen & Lauren Cohen & Umit Gurun, 2019. "Don’t Take Their Word For It: The Misclassification of Bond Mutual Funds," NBER Working Papers 26423, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Fernando Mu�oz & Ruth Vicente & Luis Ferruz, 2015. "Stock-picking and style-timing abilities: a comparative analysis of conventional and socially responsible mutual funds in the US market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 345-358, February.
    20. Ammann, Manuel & Fischer, Sebastian & Weigert, Florian, 2020. "Factor exposure variation and mutual fund performance," CFR Working Papers 20-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    21. Cuthbertson, Keith & Nitzsche, Dirk, 2013. "Performance, stock selection and market timing of the German equity mutual fund industry," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 86-101.

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