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A gradient boosting approach to the Kaggle load forecasting competition

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Theresa Maria Rausch & Tobias Albrecht & Daniel Baier, 2022. "Beyond the beaten paths of forecasting call center arrivals: on the use of dynamic harmonic regression with predictor variables," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 92(4), pages 675-706, May.
  2. Araz Taeihagh, 2017. "Crowdsourcing, Sharing Economies and Development," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 33(2), pages 191-222, June.
  3. Li, Z. & Hurn, A.S. & Clements, A.E., 2017. "Forecasting quantiles of day-ahead electricity load," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 60-71.
  4. Prpić, John, 2017. "MOOCs and Crowdsourcing: Massive Courses and Massive Resources," SocArXiv uwess, Center for Open Science.
  5. Feng Gao & Jie Song & Xueyan Shao, 2025. "Short-term interval-valued load forecasting with a combined strategy of iHW and multioutput machine learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 346(3), pages 2009-2033, March.
  6. Nino Antulov-Fantulin & Tian Guo & Fabrizio Lillo, 2021. "Temporal mixture ensemble models for probabilistic forecasting of intraday cryptocurrency volume," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 905-940, December.
  7. Hu, Zhongyi & Bao, Yukun & Chiong, Raymond & Xiong, Tao, 2015. "Mid-term interval load forecasting using multi-output support vector regression with a memetic algorithm for feature selection," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 419-431.
  8. Lahiri, Kajal & Yang, Cheng, 2022. "Boosting tax revenues with mixed-frequency data in the aftermath of COVID-19: The case of New York," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 545-566.
  9. Botman, Lola & Lago, Jesus & Becker, Thijs & Vanthournout, Koen & Moor, Bart De, 2025. "A global probabilistic approach for short-term forecasting of individual households electricity consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 382(C).
  10. Prpić, John, 2017. "A Framework for Policy Crowdsourcing," SocArXiv pmfdx, Center for Open Science.
  11. Hui Hu & Jianfeng Zhang & Tao Li, 2021. "A Novel Hybrid Decompose-Ensemble Strategy with a VMD-BPNN Approach for Daily Streamflow Estimating," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(15), pages 5119-5138, December.
  12. Souhaib Ben Taieb & Rob J Hyndman, 2014. "Boosting multi-step autoregressive forecasts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 13/14, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  13. Tartakovsky, Alexandre M. & Ma, Tong & Barajas-Solano, David A. & Tipireddy, Ramakrishna, 2023. "Physics-informed Gaussian process regression for states estimation and forecasting in power grids," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 967-980.
  14. Wang, Lin & Lv, Sheng-Xiang & Zeng, Yu-Rong, 2018. "Effective sparse adaboost method with ESN and FOA for industrial electricity consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 1013-1031.
  15. Wang, Pu & Liu, Bidong & Hong, Tao, 2016. "Electric load forecasting with recency effect: A big data approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 585-597.
  16. Smirnov, Dmitry & Huchzermeier, Arnd, 2020. "Analytics for labor planning in systems with load-dependent service times," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(2), pages 668-681.
  17. Brusaferri, Alessandro & Matteucci, Matteo & Spinelli, Stefano & Vitali, Andrea, 2022. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting through Bayesian Mixture Density Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  18. Makridakis, Spyros & Hyndman, Rob J. & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2020. "Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 15-28.
  19. Zhao, Pengfei & Shen, Zhirong & Cao, Di & Lin, Zhiping & Chen, Zhe & Hu, Weihao, 2026. "Missing data-aware robust electrical load forecasting based on hierarchical downsampling-upsampling spatiotemporal graph network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 405(C).
  20. Hong, Tao & Fan, Shu, 2016. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting: A tutorial review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 914-938.
  21. Döpke, Jörg & Fritsche, Ulrich & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2017. "Predicting recessions with boosted regression trees," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 745-759.
  22. Luo, Jian & Hong, Tao & Fang, Shu-Cherng, 2018. "Benchmarking robustness of load forecasting models under data integrity attacks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 89-104.
  23. Maher Selim & Ryan Zhou & Wenying Feng & Peter Quinsey, 2021. "Estimating Energy Forecasting Uncertainty for Reliable AI Autonomous Smart Grid Design," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, January.
  24. Naudé, Wim & Bray, Amy & Lee, Celina, 2021. "Crowdsourcing Artificial Intelligence in Africa: Findings from a Machine Learning Contest," IZA Discussion Papers 14545, IZA Network @ LISER.
  25. Prpić, John, 2017. "How To Work A Crowd: Developing Crowd Capital Through Crowdsourcing," SocArXiv jer9k, Center for Open Science.
  26. Seyedeh Narjes Fallah & Mehdi Ganjkhani & Shahaboddin Shamshirband & Kwok-wing Chau, 2019. "Computational Intelligence on Short-Term Load Forecasting: A Methodological Overview," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, January.
  27. Prpić, John, 2017. "The Fundamentals of Policy Crowdsourcing," SocArXiv wdtvh, Center for Open Science.
  28. Jiaming Liu & Chong Wu & Yongli Li, 2019. "Improving Financial Distress Prediction Using Financial Network-Based Information and GA-Based Gradient Boosting Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 851-872, February.
  29. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Zhao, Yang & Song, Mengjie & Wang, Jiayuan, 2019. "Deep learning-based feature engineering methods for improved building energy prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 35-45.
  30. Prpić, John & Shukla, Prashant P. & Kietzmann, Jan H. & McCarthy, Ian P., 2015. "How to work a crowd: Developing crowd capital through crowdsourcing," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 77-85.
  31. Andi A. H. Lateko & Hong-Tzer Yang & Chao-Ming Huang & Happy Aprillia & Che-Yuan Hsu & Jie-Lun Zhong & Nguyễn H. Phương, 2021. "Stacking Ensemble Method with the RNN Meta-Learner for Short-Term PV Power Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-23, August.
  32. Liu, Tianhao & Li, Fangning & Zhang, Dongdong & Shan, Linke & Zhu, Hongyu & Du, Pengcheng & Jiang, Meihui & Goh, Hui Hwang & Kurniawan, Tonni Agustiono & Huang, Chao & Kong, Fannie, 2026. "Intelligent load forecasting technologies for diverse scenarios in the new power systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 226(PD).
  33. Li, Qing & Yu, Shuai & Échevin, Damien & Fan, Min, 2022. "Is poverty predictable with machine learning? A study of DHS data from Kyrgyzstan," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  34. Barrow, Devon K. & Crone, Sven F., 2016. "A comparison of AdaBoost algorithms for time series forecast combination," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1103-1119.
  35. Paulino José Garcia Nieto & Esperanza García Gonzalo & Fernando Sanchez Lasheras & Antonio Bernardo Sánchez, 2020. "A Hybrid Predictive Approach for Chromium Layer Thickness in the Hard Chromium Plating Process Based on the Differential Evolution/Gradient Boosted Regression Tree Methodology," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-20, June.
  36. Guo, Zhifeng & Zhou, Kaile & Zhang, Xiaoling & Yang, Shanlin, 2018. "A deep learning model for short-term power load and probability density forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 1186-1200.
  37. María Carmen Ruiz-Abellón & Luis Alfredo Fernández-Jiménez & Antonio Guillamón & Alberto Falces & Ana García-Garre & Antonio Gabaldón, 2019. "Integration of Demand Response and Short-Term Forecasting for the Management of Prosumers’ Demand and Generation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-31, December.
  38. Ivana Kiprijanovska & Simon Stankoski & Igor Ilievski & Slobodan Jovanovski & Matjaž Gams & Hristijan Gjoreski, 2020. "HousEEC: Day-Ahead Household Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting Using Deep Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-29, May.
  39. Zhang, Ning & Li, Zhiying & Zou, Xun & Quiring, Steven M., 2019. "Comparison of three short-term load forecast models in Southern California," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  40. Souhaib Ben Taieb & Raphael Huser & Rob J. Hyndman & Marc G. Genton, 2015. "Probabilistic time series forecasting with boosted additive models: an application to smart meter data," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  41. repec:osf:socarx:jer9k_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  42. Hong, Tao & Wang, Pu & White, Laura, 2015. "Weather station selection for electric load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 286-295.
  43. Ahmad, Tanveer & Chen, Huanxin, 2018. "Potential of three variant machine-learning models for forecasting district level medium-term and long-term energy demand in smart grid environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 1008-1020.
  44. Rajan Vohra & Abir Hussain & Anil Kumar Dudyala & Jankisharan Pahareeya & Wasiq Khan, 2022. "Multi-class classification algorithms for the diagnosis of anemia in an outpatient clinical setting," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(7), pages 1-18, July.
  45. Moreno-Carbonell, Santiago & Sánchez-Úbeda, Eugenio F. & Muñoz, Antonio, 2020. "Rethinking weather station selection for electric load forecasting using genetic algorithms," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 695-712.
  46. Zhaorui Meng & Xianze Xu, 2019. "A Hybrid Short-Term Load Forecasting Framework with an Attention-Based Encoder–Decoder Network Based on Seasonal and Trend Adjustment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-14, December.
  47. Wang, Shaomin & Wang, Shouxiang & Chen, Haiwen & Gu, Qiang, 2020. "Multi-energy load forecasting for regional integrated energy systems considering temporal dynamic and coupling characteristics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  48. Verstraete, Gylian & Aghezzaf, El-Houssaine & Desmet, Bram, 2019. "A data-driven framework for predicting weather impact on high-volume low-margin retail products," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 169-177.
  49. Shao, Zhen & Chao, Fu & Yang, Shan-Lin & Zhou, Kai-Le, 2017. "A review of the decomposition methodology for extracting and identifying the fluctuation characteristics in electricity demand forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 123-136.
  50. Khoshrou, Abdolrahman & Pauwels, Eric J., 2019. "Short-term scenario-based probabilistic load forecasting: A data-driven approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1258-1268.
  51. Antulov-Fantulin, Nino & Lagravinese, Raffaele & Resce, Giuliano, 2021. "Predicting bankruptcy of local government: A machine learning approach," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 681-699.
  52. Gür Ali, Özden & Gürlek, Ragıp, 2020. "Automatic Interpretable Retail forecasting with promotional scenarios," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1389-1406.
  53. Nino Antulov-Fantulin & Tian Guo & Fabrizio Lillo, 2020. "Temporal mixture ensemble models for intraday volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange markets," Papers 2005.09356, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  54. Prpić, John, 2017. "Experiments on Crowdsourcing Policy Assessment," SocArXiv qznpk, Center for Open Science.
  55. Samuel Atuahene & Yukun Bao & Patricia Semwaah Gyan & Yao Yevenyo Ziggah, 2019. "Accurate Forecast Improvement Approach for Short Term Load Forecasting Using Hybrid Filter-Wrap Feature Selection," International Journal of Management Science and Business Administration, Inovatus Services Ltd., vol. 5(2), pages 37-49, January.
  56. Alexis Gerossier & Robin Girard & Alexis Bocquet & George Kariniotakis, 2018. "Robust Day-Ahead Forecasting of Household Electricity Demand and Operational Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, December.
  57. Roach, Cameron, 2019. "Reconciled boosted models for GEFCom2017 hierarchical probabilistic load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1439-1450.
  58. Araz Taeihagh, 2017. "Crowdsourcing: a new tool for policy-making?," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 50(4), pages 629-647, December.
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