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Exploring the development of electric vehicles under policy incentives: A scenario-based system dynamics model

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  1. Daniele Stampatori & Pier Paolo Raimondi & Michel Noussan, 2020. "Li-Ion Batteries: A Review of a Key Technology for Transport Decarbonization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-23, May.
  2. Li, Jingjing & Jiao, Jianling & Tang, Yunshu, 2019. "An evolutionary analysis on the effect of government policies on electric vehicle diffusion in complex network," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1-12.
  3. Muhammad Asim & Muhammad Usman & Muhammad Salman Abbasi & Saad Ahmad & M. A. Mujtaba & Manzoore Elahi M. Soudagar & Abdullah Mohamed, 2022. "Estimating the Long-Term Effects of National and International Sustainable Transport Policies on Energy Consumption and Emissions of Road Transport Sector of Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, May.
  4. Jiang Wu & Hongquan Yi & Xi Zheng & Ke Liu, 2025. "The Impact Path of New Energy Vehicle Promotion on Green Development—Empirical Research from the Provincial Level in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-27, June.
  5. Haizhen Wu & Weiguo Fan & Jianchang Lu, 2021. "Researching on the Sustainability of Transportation Industry Based on a Coupled Emergy and System Dynamics Model: A Case Study of Qinghai," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-19, June.
  6. Ren, Guizhou & Wang, Jinzhong & Chen, Changlei & Wang, Haoran, 2021. "A variable-voltage ultra-capacitor/battery hybrid power source for extended range electric vehicle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
  7. Zhuge, Chengxiang & Wei, Binru & Shao, Chunfu & Shan, Yuli & Dong, Chunjiao, 2020. "The role of the license plate lottery policy in the adoption of Electric Vehicles: A case study of Beijing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  8. Marcuzzo, R. & Silberg, T.R. & Uriona-Maldonado, M., 2025. "Growth of residential solar energy in Brazil: A system dynamics approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
  9. Kacperski, Celina & Ulloa, Roberto & Klingert, Sonja & Kirpes, Benedikt & Kutzner, Florian, 2022. "Impact of incentives for greener battery electric vehicle charging – A field experiment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
  10. Nan Tang & Yuemeng Ge & Sajid Ali & Raima Nazar, 2026. "Financing the future: Asymmetric association between green investment and electric vehicles," Energy & Environment, , vol. 37(2), pages 1009-1030, March.
  11. Samer Abaddi, 2025. "Modeling e‐Truck adoption for sustainable transport in Jordan: A system dynamics approach," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2), pages 1732-1753, May.
  12. Furkan Ahmad & Ameni Boumaiza & Antonio Sanfilippo & Luluwah Al‐Fagih, 2025. "Navigating the Impact, Challenges and Future Prospects of Carbon Neutrality Under Green Finance Initiatives," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(S1), pages 1395-1436, November.
  13. Zhu, Lijing & Wang, Jingzhou & Farnoosh, Arash & Pan, Xunzhang, 2022. "A game-theory analysis of electric vehicle adoption in Beijing under license plate control policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
  14. Mo Chen & Rudy X. J. Liu & Chaochao Liu, 2021. "How to Improve the Market Penetration of New Energy Vehicles in China: An Agent-Based Model with a Three-Level Variables Structure," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, November.
  15. Shen, Yung-Shuen & Huang, Guan-Ting & Chang-Chien, Chien-Li & Huang, Lance Hongwei & Kuo, Chien-Hung & Hu, Allen H., 2023. "The impact of passenger electric vehicles on carbon reduction and environmental impact under the 2050 net zero policy in Taiwan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  16. Du, Qiang & Wang, Yalei & Pang, Qiaoyu & Hao, Tingting & Zhou, Yuqing, 2023. "The dynamic analysis on low-carbon building adoption under emission trading scheme," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
  17. Yuniaristanto, & Sutopo, Wahyudi & Hisjam, Muhammad & Wicaksono, Hendro, 2024. "Estimating the market share of electric motorcycles: A system dynamics approach with the policy mix and sustainable life cycle costs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  18. Xin-gang, Zhao & Wei, Wang & Jieying, Wang, 2022. "The policy effects of demand-pull and technology-push on the diffusion of wind power: A scenario analysis based on system dynamics approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
  19. Li, Jingjing & Nian, Victor & Jiao, Jianling, 2022. "Diffusion and benefits evaluation of electric vehicles under policy interventions based on a multiagent system dynamics model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  20. Kaifu Yuan & Chuanji Wang & Guangqiang Wu, 2025. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Range Coopetition: NEV Automakers' Strategies Under Dual Credit Policy Influences," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 5056-5092, March.
  21. Gudzuks Gustavs & Cakula Sarma, 2019. "Modelling Support Mechanism Impact on Electric Vehicle Registration in Latvia," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 33(1), pages 127-139, January.
  22. Zhao, Jing & Tang, Ou & Zhang, Qin & Zhou, Dequn, 2025. "Can reshoring policies hinder China's photovoltaic module exports? A dynamic perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  23. Shuang Huang & Abraham Y. Nahm & Zengji Song, 2023. "Government subsidies of new energy vehicle industry and enterprise innovation: Moderating role of chief executive officers' technical background," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 2137-2147, June.
  24. Lei Zhang & Yingqi Liu & Beibei Pang & Bingxiang Sun & Ari Kokko, 2020. "Second Use Value of China’s New Energy Vehicle Battery: A View Based on Multi-Scenario Simulation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, January.
  25. Ram Santran & Rhythm Singh, 2024. "Understanding vehicle demand dynamics in Indian road transport: A qualitative framework," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 623-639, July.
  26. Yao, Xusheng & Ma, Shoufeng & Bai, Yin & Jia, Ning, 2022. "When are new energy vehicle incentives effective? Empirical evidence from 88 pilot cities in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 207-224.
  27. Wang, Haonan & Lee, C.K.M. & Ji, Ping & Zhao, Zhonghao, 2025. "Electric bus transition with leasing companies: An evolutionary game theory approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  28. Li, Yina & Liang, Chenchen & Ye, Fei & Zhao, Xiande, 2023. "Designing government subsidy schemes to promote the electric vehicle industry: A system dynamics model perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  29. Zhan, Weipeng & Wang, Zhenpo & Deng, Junjun & Liu, Peng & Cui, Dingsong, 2024. "Integrating system dynamics and agent-based modeling: A data-driven framework for predicting electric vehicle market penetration and GHG emissions reduction under various incentives scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 372(C).
  30. Fengjie Fu & Hongzhao Dong, 2019. "Targeted optimal-path problem for electric vehicles with connected charging stations," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-23, August.
  31. Zhang, Dongyang & Mohsin, Muhammad & Rasheed, Abdul Khaliq & Chang, Youngho & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "Public spending and green economic growth in BRI region: Mediating role of green finance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  32. Jing, Peng & Shao, Danning & Liu, Yaqi & Chen, Yuexia & Zhang, Shuang, 2025. "Linking short- and long-term impacts of the government, consumers, and manufacturers on NEV sales and market share in China," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  33. Rahman, Arief & Richards, Russell & Dargusch, Paul & Wadley, David, 2025. "The complexity of transitioning from oil dependency: A dynamic modelling case study of Indonesia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  34. Manzolli, Jônatas Augusto & Trovão, João Pedro & Antunes, Carlos Henggeler, 2022. "A review of electric bus vehicles research topics – Methods and trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  35. Wang, Junling & Cheng, Siyu & Guo, Xinyu & Xu, Xin & Wang, Zehao, 2024. "An evolutionary analysis of the diffusion of low-carbon technology innovation in supply networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
  36. Zhu, Min & Dong, Peiwu & Ju, Yanbing & Li, Jiajun & Ran, Lun, 2023. "Effects of government subsidies on heavy-duty hydrogen fuel cell truck penetration: A scenario-based system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  37. Kong, Deyang & Xia, Quhong & Xue, Yixi & Zhao, Xin, 2020. "Effects of multi policies on electric vehicle diffusion under subsidy policy abolishment in China: A multi-actor perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
  38. Zhao, Dan & Ji, Shou-feng & Wang, He-ping & Jiang, Li-wen, 2021. "How do government subsidies promote new energy vehicle diffusion in the complex network context? A three-stage evolutionary game model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
  39. Ye, Rui-Ke & Gao, Zhuang-Fei & Fang, Kai & Liu, Kang-Li & Chen, Jia-Wei, 2021. "Moving from subsidy stimulation to endogenous development: A system dynamics analysis of China's NEVs in the post-subsidy era," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  40. Li, Yanfei & Chang, Youngho, 2019. "Road transport electrification and energy security in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations: Quantitative analysis and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 805-815.
  41. Zhou, Kaile & Cheng, Lexin & Wen, Lulu & Lu, Xinhui & Ding, Tao, 2020. "A coordinated charging scheduling method for electric vehicles considering different charging demands," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
  42. Alberto Broatch & Pablo Olmeda & Pau Bares & Sebastián Aceros, 2022. "Integral Thermal Management Studies in Winter Conditions with a Global Model of a Battery-Powered Electric Bus," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-24, December.
  43. Jianjun Dong & Yuanxian Xu & Bon-gang Hwang & Rui Ren & Zhilong Chen, 2019. "The Impact of Underground Logistics System on Urban Sustainable Development: A System Dynamics Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, February.
  44. Zhengwei Xia & Dongming Wu & Langlang Zhang, 2022. "Economic, Functional, and Social Factors Influencing Electric Vehicles’ Adoption: An Empirical Study Based on the Diffusion of Innovation Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-22, May.
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