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Credit contagion between financial systems

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  • Podlich, Natalia
  • Wedow, Michael

Abstract

We examine contagion from a number of financial systems to the German financial system using the information content of CDS prices in a GARCH model. After controlling for common factors which may cause comovement in security prices, we find evidence for contagion from the US and European financial systems. Our results additionally confirm that the set up of the financial rescue scheme in Germany partially shielded German banks but not insurance companies from contagion. Overall, our results suggest that contagion from dealer banks have the most prominent effect on the German financial system. While dealer banks impact on German banks and insurance companies in a similar way, a deterioration in the CDS spreads of dealer banks has a particularly pronounced effect on German dealer banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Podlich, Natalia & Wedow, Michael, 2011. "Credit contagion between financial systems," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2011,15, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp2:201115
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    Cited by:

    1. Ms. Hélène Poirson & Jochen M. Schmittmann, 2013. "Risk Exposures and Financial Spillovers in Tranquil and Crisis Times: Bank-Level Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2013/142, International Monetary Fund.
    2. J. Molins & E. Vives, 2015. "Model risk on credit risk," Papers 1502.06984, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2015.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Systemic Risk; CDS Spreads; Contagion; OTC Dealer;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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