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Investor Attention and Sentiment: Risk or Anomaly?

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  • Bucher, Melk C.

Abstract

Are stocks' varying sensitivities to changing investor attention and sentiment priced? Employing internet search-based proxies for both, I find novel results that are consistent with theory. Stocks that co-vary negatively with increased investor attention to the stock market outperform in the following months in a behavior consistent with a risk premium. The pricing of co-variation with investor sentiment depends on aggregate mispricing (Baker-Wurgler index), behaving like a risk premium when mispricing is low and like an anomaly when mispricing is high. Sensitivity to both sentiment and attention is strongly related to idiosyncratic volatility and limits to arbitrage: High absolute attention/sentiment loadings are associated with higher volatility, smaller size and other limits to arbitrage. However, the priced attention and sentiment components are clearly distinct from the idiosyncratic risk puzzle and stay significant when controlling for relevant pricing factors and company characteristics. Investor attention is both very robust and highly powerful in pricing a broad variety of test assets. On the other hand, investor sentiment's effect on performance is strongly related to return reversal/momentum and does not add much information on its own.

Suggested Citation

  • Bucher, Melk C., 2017. "Investor Attention and Sentiment: Risk or Anomaly?," Working Papers on Finance 1712, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  • Handle: RePEc:usg:sfwpfi:2017:12
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    2. Albaity, Mohamed & Noman, Abu Hanifa Md. & Saadaoui Mallek, Ray & Al-Shboul, Mohammad, 2022. "Cyclicality of bank credit growth: Conventional vs Islamic banks in the GCC," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(1).
    3. Jungshik Hur & Vivek Singh, 2022. "The role of investor attention in idiosyncratic volatility puzzle and new results," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 409-434, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor attention; investor sentiment; limits to arbitrage; asset pricing; idiosyncratic risk puzzle;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles

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