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Cyclical fluctuations, financial shocks, and the entry of fast-growing entrepreneurial startups

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Abstract

We analyze a multi-year, multi-country entrepreneurship survey with more than one million observations to identify startups with low- and high growth potential, and we confirm the validity of these ex-ante measures with ex post firm-level information on employment growth. We find that negative aggregate financial shocks reduce all startup types, but their effect is significantly stronger for startups with high growth potential, especially when GDP growth is low. Our results uncover a new composition of entry channel that significantly reduces employment growth and is potentially important for explaining slow recoveries after financial crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Christoph Albert & Andrea Caggese, 2018. "Cyclical fluctuations, financial shocks, and the entry of fast-growing entrepreneurial startups," Economics Working Papers 1628, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jun 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:1628
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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Albert & Andrea Caggese & Beatriz González, 2020. "The short- and long-run employment impact of Covid-19 through the effects of real and financial shocks on new firms," Economics Working Papers 1739, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    2. Vladimir Smirnyagin, 2020. "Compositional nature of firm growth and aggregate fluctuations," Bank of England working papers 846, Bank of England.
    3. Smirnyagin, Vladimir, 2023. "Returns to scale, firm entry, and the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 118-134.
    4. Bianco, Simone & Zach, Florian J. & Liu, Anyu, 2022. "Early and late-stage startup funding in hospitality: Effects on incumbents' market value," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    5. De Haas, Ralph & Sterk, Vincent & van Horen, Neeltje, 2022. "Startup Types and Macroeconomic Performance in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 17400, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • M13 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - New Firms; Startups

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