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Equilibrium Effects in Complementary Markets: Electric Vehicle Adoption and Electricity Pricing

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  • Heid, Pascal
  • Remmy, Kevin
  • Reynaert, Mathias

Abstract

Electric vehicles shift passenger transport from oil to electricity, linking vehicle adoption to hourly power-market conditions. We develop and estimate a joint equilibrium model of German vehicle demand and electricity supply in which driver-specific charging decisions map travel profiles and electricity prices into EV operating costs and load. A 10% EV stock raises wholesale prices by 3.3%, creating sizable cost spillovers on non-EV electricity users, but reduces EV adoption by less than 1%. Time-varying tariffs lower charging costs and shift load to cheaper hours; in equilibrium, EV adoption offsets much of the system-cost relief while redirecting generator profits toward renewables.

Suggested Citation

  • Heid, Pascal & Remmy, Kevin & Reynaert, Mathias, 2024. "Equilibrium Effects in Complementary Markets: Electric Vehicle Adoption and Electricity Pricing," TSE Working Papers 24-1589, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised May 2026.
    • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:129899
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    1. Johannes Gessner & Wolfgang Habla & Benjamin Rübenacker & Ulrich J. Wagner, 2025. "No Place Like Home: Charging Infrastructure and the Environmental Advantage of Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_663, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, revised Apr 2026.
    2. Dertwinkel-Kalt Markus & Wey Christian, 2026. "Europäische Flotten-CO2-Standards: Auswirkungen auf Verbraucher und Hersteller," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 106(2), pages 119-122.

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    JEL classification:

    • L5 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy
    • L6 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing
    • L9 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics

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