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Debt sustainability and financial crises in South Africa

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  • Leroi Raputsoane
  • Ruthira Naraidoo

Abstract

This study assesses debt sustainability in South Africa allowing for possible nonlinearities in the form of threshold behaviour by fiscal authorities. A long historical data series on the debt-to-GDP ratio and models with fixed and time-varying thresholds allowing the level of debt to vary relative to its recent history and the occurrence of financial crises […]

Suggested Citation

  • Leroi Raputsoane & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2014. "Debt sustainability and financial crises in South Africa," Working Papers 403, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    • Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:403
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Maureen Were & Lekinyi Mollel, 2020. "Public debt sustainability and debt dynamics: The case of Tanzania," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-112, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Fofana, Ismael & Goundan, Anatole & Magne, Léa, 2014. "Simulation des impacts de la politique d’autosuffisance en riz de l’Afrique de l’ouest," Conference papers 332560, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Mr. Magnus Saxegaard, 2014. "Safe Debt and Uncertainty in Emerging Markets: An Application to South Africa," IMF Working Papers 2014/231, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Abderrahim Chibi & Sidi Mohamed Chekouri & Mohamed Benbouziane, 2019. "Debt sustainability, structural breaks and nonlinear fiscal adjustment: empirical evidence from Algeria," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 66(4), pages 369-397, December.
    5. Ephrem Habtemichael Redda, 2021. "South Africa`S Fiscal Outlook Amidst Covid-19 Pandemic," Proceedings of Business and Management Conferences 12613397, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    6. Olaoye, Olumide Olusegun & Olomola, P.A., 2022. "Empirical analysis of asymmetry phenomenon in the public debt structure of Sub-Saharan Africa's five biggest economies: A Markov-Switching model," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    7. Anselm K. Abotsi, 2023. "Factors influencing the ability to honour debt repayment obligations by Governments in Africa," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 876-885, January.
    8. Gabriel Temesgen Woldu, 2020. "Do fiscal regimes matter for fiscal sustainability in South Africa?: A Markov-switching approach," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-163, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic crisis; International Agreements ; Sustainable Developement Goals (SDG);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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