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An optimization-based framework for modeling counterterrorism strategies


  • Eiselt, H.A.
  • Bhadury, Joy
  • Burkey, Mark L.


The paper introduces the subject of terrorism and counterterrorism by means of a two-person bimatrix game that provides some insight into the behavior of the two players. We then examine three important areas in counterterrorism tasks: the detection of terrorist cells and how to render them inoperable, the fortification of assets in order to protect them from terrorist attacks, and the optimal evacuation of people from an area affected by terrorism. Basic mathematical models are formulated and demonstrated. The paper concludes with some thoughts on potential extensions of the models presented here.

Suggested Citation

  • Eiselt, H.A. & Bhadury, Joy & Burkey, Mark L., 2011. "An optimization-based framework for modeling counterterrorism strategies," MPRA Paper 36117, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:36117

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Bruno S. Frey & Simon Luechinger & Alois Stutzer, 2007. "Calculating Tragedy: Assessing The Costs Of Terrorism," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(1), pages 1-24, February.
    2. Vicki Bier & Santiago Oliveros & Larry Samuelson, 2007. "Choosing What to Protect: Strategic Defensive Allocation against an Unknown Attacker," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 9(4), pages 563-587, August.
    3. Sherali, Hanif D. & Carter, Todd B. & Hobeika, Antoine G., 1991. "A location-allocation model and algorithm for evacuation planning under hurricane/flood conditions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 25(6), pages 439-452, December.
    4. Sandler, Todd & Enders, Walter, 2004. "An economic perspective on transnational terrorism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 301-316, June.
    5. N. Lesca, 2011. "Introduction," Post-Print halshs-00640604, HAL.
    6. Elselt, H. A., 1998. "Perception and information in a competitive location model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 94-105, July.
    7. C. Dominguez-Pery, 2011. "Introduction," Post-Print halshs-00740570, HAL.
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    More about this item


    mathematical models; terrorism;

    JEL classification:

    • C70 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - General
    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General

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