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Productivity and the New Zealand Dollar: Balassa-Samuelson tests on sectoral data

The Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis suggests that countries with a weak relative productivity performance should, over time, see a low or falling real exchange rate. This note uses detailed sectoral data to test the hypothesis over the period 1978-2006 and also fails to find any evidence of the expected effect.

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File URL: http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research_and_publications/analytical_notes/2013/an2013_01.pdf
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Paper provided by Reserve Bank of New Zealand in its series Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series with number AN2013/01.

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Length: 21 p.
Date of creation: Jun 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbans:2013/01
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  1. Imed Drine & Christophe Rault, 2005. "Can the Balassa-Samuelson theory explain long-run real exchange rate movements in OECD countries?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 519-530.
  2. Dubravko Mihaljek & Marc Klau, 2008. "Catching-up and inflation in transition economies: the Balassa-Samuelson effect revisited," BIS Working Papers 270, Bank for International Settlements.
  3. Engel, C., 1996. "Accounting for U.S. Real Exchange Rate Changes," Working Papers 96-02, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
  4. Dubravko Mihaljek & Marc Klau, 2003. "The Balassa-Samuelson effect in central Europe: a disaggregated analysis," BIS Working Papers 143, Bank for International Settlements.
  5. Ron Alquist & Menzie D. Chinn, 2002. "Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 8824, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Bela Balassa, 1964. "The Purchasing-Power Parity Doctrine: A Reappraisal," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 72, pages 584.
  7. Anne-Marie Brook & David Hargreaves, 2001. "PPP-based analysis of New Zealand's equilibrium exchange rate," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2001/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
  8. Lukasz A. Drozd & Jaromir B. Nosal, 2010. "The Nontradable Goods' Real Exchange Rate Puzzle," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 227-249 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
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