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Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues

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  • Halpern, László
  • Égert, Balázs
  • MacDonald, Ronald

Abstract

In this Paper we present an overview of a number of issues relating to the equilibrium exchange rates of the new EU member states from Central and Eastern Europe. In particular, we present a critical overview of the various methods available for calculating equilibrium exchange rates and discuss how useful they are likely to be for the new member states. We then consider some methodological issues, relating to the implementation of an equilibrium exchange rate model for new member states, such as the speed with which equilibrium exchange rates change and issues of implementation. Finally, we present an overview of the various extant measures of equilibrium that have been calculated for the new member states.

Suggested Citation

  • Halpern, László & Égert, Balázs & MacDonald, Ronald, 2004. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues," CEPR Discussion Papers 4809, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4809
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    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • P17 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Performance and Prospects

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