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Transition Accounting for India in a Multi-Sector Dynamic General Equilibrium Model

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  • John Bailey Jones
  • Sohini Sahu

Abstract

Using a quantitative methodology designed specifically for emerging economies, we measure the components of India's economic growth over the period 1960-2005. Our approach accounts for time-varying parameters, transitional dynamics and non-linear trends. We find that increased productivity in the service sector, facilitated by a structural shift toward services, is the principal driver of India's economic growth. Our measures also suggest that the allocation of inputs across sectors has not improved over this period, and in the case of labor appears to have significantly worsened. We further find that fluctuations in output around its trend are due primarily to fluctuations in sector-specific total factor productivity, with fluctuations in labor market distortions and labor taxes also playing important roles. In the period 1960-1980, productivity fluctuations in the agricultural sector are the dominant source of cycles. Since then, productivity fluctuations in the manufacturing and service sectors have been more important.

Suggested Citation

  • John Bailey Jones & Sohini Sahu, 2008. "Transition Accounting for India in a Multi-Sector Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Discussion Papers 08-03, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:nya:albaec:08-03
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    3. Suparna Chakraborty & Keisuke Otsu, 2012. "Deconstructing Growth - A Business Cycle Accounting Approach with application to BRICs," Studies in Economics 1212, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    4. Sohini Sahu, 2015. "Source of Service Sector TFP Growth in India: Evidence from Micro-data," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 4(1), pages 62-90, June.
    5. Konya Istvan, 2013. "Development accounting with wedges: the experience of six European countries," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 1-42, June.
    6. Chang Yongsung & Hornstein Andreas, 2015. "Transition dynamics in the neoclassical growth model: the case of South Korea," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 649-676, July.
    7. Chakraborty Suparna & Otsu Keisuke, 2013. "Business cycle accounting of the BRIC economies," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 1-33, September.
    8. Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Francesca Severini & Rosita Pretaroli & Hassan Kasady Al Mahdi, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy and real estate sector: a financial dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Italy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 221-238, April.
    9. Kónya, István, 2011. "Növekedés és felzárkózás Magyarországon, 1995-2009 [Growth and convergence in Hungary, 1995-2009]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 393-411.

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