A Moment of Time: Reliability in Route Choice using Stated Preference
Understanding how reliability is valued is important because it provides insight to how aims of policies that aspire to provide better transport options can be more fully integrated with user expectations. In this study we derive a choice model for work commute trips that trades off alternatives based on the most frequent experience that users had on that route and the possibility of late or early arrival if they use a particular route. The idea of reliability is incorporated by how far the expected lateness or early arrival is from the most frequent experience on that route. We find that on route decisions the mode travel time is valued at $7.43 per hour while reduction from the magnitude of average lateness (thereby increasing the reliability of the route) is valued at $6.91 per hour.
|Date of creation:||2006|
|Date of revision:|
|Publication status:||Published in Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems 14: 3, 179 â€” 187.|
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- Noland, R.B. & Small, K.A. & Koskenoja, P.M. & Chu, X., 1996.
"Simulating Travel Reliability,"
95-96-7, California Irvine - School of Social Sciences.
- Noland, Robert B. & Small, Kenneth A. & Koskenoja, Pia Maria & Chu, Xuehao, 1997. "Simulating Travel Reliability," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt30w220k0, University of California Transportation Center.
- Small, Kenneth A, 1982. "The Scheduling of Consumer Activities: Work Trips," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(3), pages 467-79, June.
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