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The impact of travel time variability and travelers' risk attitudes on the values of time and reliability

Author

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  • Mickaël Beaud

    (LAMETA - Laboratoire Montpelliérain d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - UM1 - Université Montpellier 1 - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - Montpellier SupAgro - Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier)

  • Thierry Blayac

    (LAMETA - Laboratoire Montpelliérain d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - UM1 - Université Montpellier 1 - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - Montpellier SupAgro - Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier)

  • Maïté Stéphan

    (LAMETA - Laboratoire Montpelliérain d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - UM1 - Université Montpellier 1 - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - Montpellier SupAgro - Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier)

Abstract

In this paper, we derive implementable measures of travelers' willingness to pay to save travel time (vot) and to improve the reliability ( vor) of a given trip. We set out a simple microeconomic model of transport mode choice in which each trip is fully characterized by its price and the statistical distribution of its random travel time, assuming that travelers have expected utility preferences over the latter. We then explore how the vot and vor are affected by the statistical distribution of travel time and by travelers' preferences towards travel time variability.

Suggested Citation

  • Mickaël Beaud & Thierry Blayac & Maïté Stéphan, 2016. "The impact of travel time variability and travelers' risk attitudes on the values of time and reliability," Post-Print hal-01923409, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01923409
    DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2016.07.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhaoqi Zang & Richard Batley & Xiangdong Xu & David Z. W. Wang, 2022. "On the value of distribution tail in the valuation of travel time variability," Papers 2207.06293, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    2. Zang, Zhaoqi & Batley, Richard & Xu, Xiangdong & Wang, David Z.W., 2024. "On the value of distribution tail in the valuation of travel time variability," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    3. Chen, Bi Yu & Li, Qingquan & Lam, William H.K., 2016. "Finding the k reliable shortest paths under travel time uncertainty," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 189-203.
    4. Teng, Wenxin & Chen, Bi Yu, 2024. "Reliable lifelong planning A*: Technique for re-optimizing reliable shortest paths when travel time distribution updating," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    5. Li, Zheng & Hensher, David A. & Rose, John M., 2010. "Willingness to pay for travel time reliability in passenger transport: A review and some new empirical evidence," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 384-403, May.
    6. Li, Siping & Zhou, Yaoming, 2024. "Integrating equity and efficiency into urban logistics resilience under emergency lockdowns," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    7. Yu, Xiaojuan & van den Berg, Vincent A.C. & Li, Zhi-Chun, 2023. "Congestion pricing and information provision under uncertainty: Responsive versus habitual pricing," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    8. Xiang Wei & Songshan (Sam) Huang & Ghialy Yap & Xinfang Wu & Ariuna Taivan, 2018. "The influence of national holiday structure on domestic tourism expenditure," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(7), pages 781-800, November.
    9. Zhaoqi Zang & Xiangdong Xu & Kai Qu & Ruiya Chen & Anthony Chen, 2022. "Travel time reliability in transportation networks: A review of methodological developments," Papers 2206.12696, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    10. Xiao, Yu & Coulombel, Nicolas & Palma, André de, 2017. "The valuation of travel time reliability: does congestion matter?," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 113-141.
    11. Blayac, Thierry & Stéphan, Maïté, 2021. "Are retrospective rail punctuality indicators useful? Evidence from users perceptions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 193-213.
    12. Emily K. M. Moylan & Michiel C. J. Bliemer & Taha Hossein Rashidi, 2022. "Travellers’ perceptions of travel time reliability in the presence of rare events," Transportation, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1157-1181, August.
    13. Feriél Adjeroud & Thierry Blayac, 2018. "Bus and carpooling travel time perceptions by users: what about the values of travel time for long-distance trips in France? [Perception du temps de transport par les usagers de l’autocar et du cov," Post-Print hal-02099824, HAL.
    14. Cheng, Qixiu & Liu, Zhiyuan & Lu, Jiawei & List, George & Liu, Pan & Zhou, Xuesong Simon, 2024. "Using frequency domain analysis to elucidate travel time reliability along congested freeway corridors," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    15. Zhang, Xin & Zhong, Shiquan & Jia, Ning & Ling, Shuai & Yao, Wang & Ma, Shoufeng, 2024. "A barrier to the promotion of app-based ridesplitting: Travelers’ ambiguity aversion in mode choice," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    16. Fu, Jianhua & Zhang, Yongqing, 2020. "Valuation of travel time reliability: Considering the traveler's adaptive expectation with an indifference band on daily trip duration," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 337-353.

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