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Global excess liquidity and asset prices in emerging countries: a pvar approach Abstract : The overly accommodating monetary policy is often accused of creating surplus liquidity and bubbles on the asset markets. In particular, it could have contributed to strong capital inflows in emerging countries, which may have had a significant impact on financial stability in these countries, affecting domestic financing conditions and creating a risk of upward pressures on asset prices. We focus in this paper on the impact of global excess liquidity on good and asset prices for a set of emerging market countries by estimating a panel VAR model. We define first global liquidity and highlight situations of excess liquidity. We then find that excess liquidity at the global level has spillover effects on output and price level in emerging countries. The impact on real estate and commodity prices in emerging countries is less clear

Author

Listed:
  • Sophie Brana

    (Larefi)

  • Stéphanie Prat

    (Larefi)

  • Marie-Louise Djibenou

    (Larefi)

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie Brana & Stéphanie Prat & Marie-Louise Djibenou, 2012. "Global excess liquidity and asset prices in emerging countries: a pvar approach Abstract : The overly accommodating monetary policy is often accused of creating surplus liquidity and bubbles on the as," Larefi Working Papers 201203, Larefi, Université Bordeaux 4.
    • Handle: RePEc:laf:wpaper:201203
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Cajas-Guijarro, John & Pérez-Almeida, Bryan, 2021. "Comercio, sobreexplotación laboral y ciclos en la periferia: una propuesta teórica y el caso ecuatoriano desde un modelo PVAR. || Trade, super-exploitation of labor power and cycles in the periphery: ," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 31(1), pages 161-197, June.
    3. Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Li, Kui-Wai & Shimada, Junji & Tsukuda, Yoshihiko, 2020. "The impact of quantitative easing and carry trade on the real estate market in Hong Kong," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 958-976.
    4. Long Chen & Nan Wang & Qiyun Li & Wenjun Zhou, 2023. "Environmental regulation, foreign direct investment and China’s economic development under the new normal: restrain or promote?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 4195-4216, May.
    5. Shahriyar Aliyev & Evžen Kočenda, 2023. "ECB monetary policy and commodity prices," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 274-304, February.
    6. Nady Rapelanoro, 2016. "Spillover effects of global liquidity’s expansion on emerging countries: evidences from a Panel VAR approach," Working Papers hal-04141593, HAL.
    7. Yang, Lu & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2014. "Spillover effect of US monetary policy to ASEAN stock markets: Evidence from Indonesia, Singapore, and Thailand," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 145-155.
    8. Kunjie Peng & Xiaorong He & Chunxiao Xu, 2023. "Coupling Coordination Relationship and Dynamic Response between Urbanization and Urban Resilience: Case of Yangtze River Delta," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, February.
    9. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The time-varying effects of financial and geopolitical uncertainties on commodity market dynamics: A TVP-SVAR-SV analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Miklesh Prasad Yadav & Sudhi Sharma & Indira Bhardwaj, 2023. "Volatility Spillover Between Chinese Stock Market and Selected Emerging Economies: A Dynamic Conditional Correlation and Portfolio Optimization Perspective," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(2), pages 427-444, June.
    11. Yang Zhou, 2022. "The Effects of Capital Controls on Housing Prices," Discussion Paper Series DP2022-29, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    12. RAPELANORO, Nady, 2017. "Global excess liquidity spillovers and monetary policy in emerging economies," MPRA Paper 121006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Wei Zhao & Changjun Jiang, 2022. "Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Characteristics and Dynamic Effects of Urban-Rural Integration Development in the Yangtze River Delta Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
    14. Wang, Tianyu & Li, Kui-Wai, 2018. "Examining the liquidity and productivity relationship: Evidence from post-reform China," MPRA Paper 100837, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 May 2020.
    15. Nady Rapelanoro, 2017. "Hoarding international reserves and global liquidity expansion, what are the links and do they matter?," Working Papers hal-04141660, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global liquidity; excess liquidity indicators; crises indicators; emerging countries; financial crisis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C42 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Survey Methods
    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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