Positive and Negative Population Growth and Long-Run Trade Patterns: A Non-Scale Growth Model
This paper builds a two-country, two-sector, non-scale growth model and investigates the relationship between trade patterns and the growth rate of per capita real consumption. We consider negative population growth as well as positive population growth. We show that, as long as the population growth rates of the two countries are different, if the country that accumulates capital stock has negative population growth, no trade patterns are sustainable in the long run. This is true irrespective of the population growth rate of the other country. Moreover, we show that, if the country that accumulates capital stock has positive population growth, two trade patterns are sustainable in the long run. In this case, either each country's per capita growth is determined by the population growth of the capital-accumulating country or the population growth of both countries, depending on which of the two trade patterns is realized.
|Date of creation:||Oct 2013|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Yoshida-Honmachi, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8501|
Web page: http://www.econ.kyoto-u.ac.jp/projectcenter/
More information through EDIRC
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Felbermayr, Gabriel J., 2004.
"Specialization on a Technologically Stagnant Sector Need Not Be Bad for Growth,"
Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers
24, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2007. "Specialization on a technologically stagnant sector need not be bad for growth," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 59(4), pages 682-701, October.
- Felbermayr, Gabriel, 2007. "Specialization on a technologically stagnant sector need not be bad for growth," Munich Reprints in Economics 20645, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Gabriel Felbermayr, 2004. "Specialization on a technologically atagnant aector need not be bad for growth," Economics working papers 2004-02, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
- Elias Dinopoulos & Constantinos Syropoulos, 2007. "Rent Protection as a Barrier to Innovation and Growth," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 309-332, August.
- N. Gregory Mankiw, 2000.
"The Savers-Spenders Theory of Fiscal Policy,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 90(2), pages 120-125, May.
- N. Gregory Mankiw, 1999. "The Savers-Spenders Theory of Fiscal Policy," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1888, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
- N. Gregory Mankiw, 2000. "The Savers-Spenders Theory of Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 7571, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chamon, Marcos & Kremer, Michael, 2009.
"Economic transformation, population growth and the long-run world income distribution,"
Journal of International Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 20-30, September.
- Marcos Chamon & Michael Kremer, 2006. "Economic Transformation, Population Growth and the Long-Run World Income Distribution," NBER Working Papers 12038, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hiroaki Sasaki, 2011. "Population growth and north-south uneven development," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 63(2), pages 307-330, April.
- Kaneko, Akihiko, 2000. "Terms of trade, economic growth, and trade patterns: a small open-economy case," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 169-181, October.
- Kar-yiu Wong & Chong K. Yip, 1998.
"Industrialization, Economic Growth and International Trade,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
0077, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
- Wong, Kar-yiu & Yip, Chong K, 1999. "Industrialization, Economic Growth, and International Trade," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(3), pages 522-40, August.
- Kar-yiu Wong & Chong K. Yip, 1998. "Industrialization, Economic Growth and International Trade," Working Papers 0077, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
- Kar-Yiu, Wong & Chong K. Yip, 1998. "Industrialization, Economic Growth, and International Trade," Departmental Working Papers _092, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics.
- Peretto, Pietro F, 1998.
" Technological Change and Population Growth,"
Journal of Economic Growth,
Springer, vol. 3(4), pages 283-311, December.
- Jones, Charles I, 1995. "R&D-Based Models of Economic Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(4), pages 759-84, August.
- Krugman, Paul, 1981. "Trade, accumulation, and uneven development," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 149-161, April.
- Hiroaki Sasaki, 2010.
"Trade, Non-Scale Growth, and Uneven Development,"
e-10-002, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University.
- Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2015.
"International Trade And Industrialization With Negative Population Growth,"
Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(08), pages 1647-1658, December.
- Hiroaki Sasaki, 2012. "International Trade and Industrialization with Negative Population Growth," Discussion papers e-12-009, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University.
- Christiaans, Thomas, 2008. "International trade and industrialization in a non-scale model of economic growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 221-236, September.
- Thomas Christiaans, 2011. "Semi-endogenous growth when population is decreasing," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2667-2673.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kue:dpaper:e-13-004. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Graduate School of Economics Project Center)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.