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Exploiting Regional Treatment Intensity for the Evaluation of Labour Market Policies

  • Frölich, Markus

    ()

    (University of Mannheim)

  • Lechner, Michael

    ()

    (University of St. Gallen)

We estimate the effects of active labour market policies (ALMP) on subsequent employment by nonparametric instrumental variables and matching estimators. Very informative administrative Swiss data with detailed regional information are combined with exogenous regional variation in programme participation probabilities, which generate an instrument within well-defined local labour markets. This allows pursuing instrumental variable as well as matching estimation strategies. A specific combination of those methods identifies a new type of effect heterogeneity. We find that ALMP increases individual employment probabilities by about 15% in the short term for unemployed that may be called 'marginal' participants. The effects seem to be considerably smaller for those unemployed not marginal to the participation decision.

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Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 2144.

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Length: 55 pages
Date of creation: May 2006
Date of revision:
Publication status: published in: Journal of American Statistical Association, 2010, 105 (491), 1014-1029
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2144
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