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Immigrants' Deportations, Local Crime and Police Effectiveness

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  • Hines, Annie Laurie

    (University of California, Davis)

  • Peri, Giovanni

    (University of California, Davis)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of immigrant deportations on local crime and police efficiency. Our identification relies on increases in the deportation rate driven by the introduction of the Secure Communities (SC) program, an immigration enforcement program based on local-federal cooperation which was rolled out across counties between 2008 and 2013. We instrument for the deportation rate by interacting the introduction of SC with the local presence of likely undocumented in 2005, prior to the introduction of SC. We document a surge in local deportation rates under SC, and we show that deportations increased the most in counties with a large undocumented population. We find that SC-driven increases in deportation rates did not reduce crime rates for violent offenses or property offenses. Our estimates are small and precise, so we can rule out meaningful effects. We do not find evidence that SC increased either police effectiveness in solving crimes or local police resources. Finally, we do not find effects of deportations on the local employment of unskilled citizens or on local firm creation.

Suggested Citation

  • Hines, Annie Laurie & Peri, Giovanni, 2019. "Immigrants' Deportations, Local Crime and Police Effectiveness," IZA Discussion Papers 12413, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp12413
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    1. Lochner, Lance & Moretti, Enrico, 2002. "The Effect of Education on Crime: Evidence from Prison Inmates, Arrests, and Self-Reports," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt4mf8k11n, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    2. Lance Lochner & Enrico Moretti, 2004. "The Effect of Education on Crime: Evidence from Prison Inmates, Arrests, and Self-Reports," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(1), pages 155-189, March.
    3. Sarah Bohn & Matthew Freedman & Emily Owens, 2015. "The Criminal Justice Response to Policy Interventions: Evidence from Immigration Reform," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 214-219, May.
    4. Aaron Chalfin, 2015. "The Long-Run Effect of Mexican Immigration on Crime in US Cities: Evidence from Variation in Mexican Fertility Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 220-225, May.
    5. Thomas J. Miles & Adam B. Cox, 2014. "Does Immigration Enforcement Reduce Crime? Evidence from Secure Communities," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(4), pages 937-973.
    6. Jörg L. Spenkuch, 2014. "Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Crime," American Law and Economics Review, American Law and Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 177-219.
    7. Ifft, Jennifer & Jodlowski, Margaret, 2016. "Is ICE Freezing US Agriculture? The Impact of Local Immigration Enforcement on Farm Profitability and Structure," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235950, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pia M. Orrenius & Madeline Zavodny, 2022. "Does immigration enforcement affect where less‐educated US natives and Hispanic immigrants live?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5), pages 1432-1451, November.
    2. Christian Gunadi, 2020. "Immigration and the Health of U.S. Natives," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 86(4), pages 1278-1306, April.
    3. Diane Charlton & Genti Kostandini, 2021. "Can Technology Compensate for a Labor Shortage? Effects of 287(g) Immigration Policies on the U.S. Dairy Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(1), pages 70-89, January.
    4. Gunadi, Christian, 2023. "The Unintended Consequence of Stringent Immigration Enforcement on Staffing in Nursing Homes: Evidence from Secure Communities," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1286, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    5. Jácome, Elisa, 2022. "The effect of immigration enforcement on crime reporting: Evidence from Dallas," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Almuhaisen, Abdulmohsen & Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina & Furtado, Delia, 2024. "Immigration enforcement and the institutionalization of elderly Americans," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    7. Schiff, Maurice, 2019. "Greater US Gun Ownership, Lethality and Murder Rates: Analysis and Policy Proposals," IZA Discussion Papers 12784, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Ambrosius, Christian & Quigua, Juliana & Velasquez, Andrea, 2025. "Beyond the Border: Labor Market Effects of U.S. Immigration Enforcement Policies in El Salvador," IZA Discussion Papers 18135, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Knight, Brian & Tribin, Ana, 2023. "Immigration and violent crime: Evidence from the Colombia-Venezuela Border," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    10. Megalokonomou, Rigissa & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2023. "The effects of exposure to refugees on crime: Evidence from the Greek islands," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    11. Kayaoglu, Aysegul, 2022. "Do refugees cause crime?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    12. Ifft, Jennifer & Jodlowski, Margaret, 2022. "Is ICE freezing US agriculture? Farm-level adjustment to increased local immigration enforcement," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • K24 - Law and Economics - - Regulation and Business Law - - - Cyber Law
    • K37 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Immigration Law

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