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Profiting from Regulation: An Event Study of the EU Carbon Market

  • Bushnell, James
  • Mansur, Erin T.
  • Chong, Howard G.

We investigate the effect of cap-and-trade regulation of CO2 on firm profits by performing an event study of a CO2 price crash in the EU market. We examine returns for 90 stocks from carbon intensive industries and 600 stocks in the broad EUROSTOXX index. Firms in carbon intensive, or electricity intensive industries, but not involved in international trade were most hurt by the event. �This implies investors were focused on product price impacts, rather than compliance costs. We find evidence that firms’ net allowance positions also strongly influenced the share price response to the decline in allowance prices.

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File URL: http://www.econ.iastate.edu/sites/default/files/publications/papers/p12737-2011-04-06.pdf
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Paper provided by Iowa State University, Department of Economics in its series Staff General Research Papers with number 32737.

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Date of creation: 15 Dec 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:32737
Contact details of provider: Postal: Iowa State University, Dept. of Economics, 260 Heady Hall, Ames, IA 50011-1070
Phone: +1 515.294.6741
Fax: +1 515.294.0221
Web page: http://www.econ.iastate.edu
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  1. Stephen Ryan, 2006. "The Costs of Environmental Regulation in a Concentrated Industry," 2006 Meeting Papers 9, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  2. Michael Dworsky & Lawrence Goulder & Marc Hafstead, 2009. "Impacts of Alternative Emissions Allowance Allocation Methods Under a Federal Cap-and-Trade Program," Discussion Papers 08-048, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
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  4. Gray, Wayne B & Shadbegian, Ronald J, 1998. "Environmental Regulation, Investment Timing, and Technology Choice," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(2), pages 235-56, June.
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  7. Linn, Joshua, 2010. "The effect of cap-and-trade programs on firms' profits: Evidence from the Nitrogen Oxides Budget Trading Program," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 1-14, January.
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  13. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521023894 is not listed on IDEAS
  14. Sijm, J. & Neuhoff, K. & Chen, Y., 2006. "CO2 cost pass through and windfall profits in the power sector," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0639, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  15. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March.
  16. Lawrence H. Goulder & Marc A. C. Hafstead & Michael S. Dworsky, 2009. "Impacts of Alternative Emissions Allowance Allocation Methods under a Federal Cap-and-Trade Program," NBER Working Papers 15293, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  17. Puller, Steven L., 2006. "The strategic use of innovation to influence regulatory standards," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 690-706, November.
  18. Oberndorfer, Ulrich, 2009. "EU Emission Allowances and the stock market: Evidence from the electricity industry," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(4), pages 1116-1126, February.
  19. Goulder, Lawrence H. & Hafstead, Marc A.C. & Dworsky, Michael, 2010. "Impacts of alternative emissions allowance allocation methods under a federal cap-and-trade program," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 161-181, November.
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