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Rethinking Development Policy: Deindustrialization, Servicification and Structural Transformation

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  • Manoj Atolia
  • Mr. Prakash Loungani
  • Milton Marquis
  • Mr. Chris Papageorgiou

Abstract

This paper takes a fresh look at the current theories of structural transformation and the role of private and public fundamentals in the process. It summarizes some representative past and current experiences of various countries vis-a-vis structural transformation with a focus on the roles of manufacturing, policy, and the international environment in shaping the trajectory of structural transformation. The salient aspects of the current debate on premature deindustrialization and its relation to a middle-income trap are described as they relate to the path of structural transformation. Conclusions are drawn regarding prospective future paths for structural transformation and development policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Manoj Atolia & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Milton Marquis & Mr. Chris Papageorgiou, 2018. "Rethinking Development Policy: Deindustrialization, Servicification and Structural Transformation," IMF Working Papers 2018/223, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2018/223
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    Cited by:

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    2. Giuntella, Osea & Wang, Tianyi, 2019. "Is an Army of Robots Marching on Chinese Jobs?," IZA Discussion Papers 12281, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Ajit K. Ghose, 2021. "Structural Change and Development in India," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 15(1), pages 7-29, April.
    4. Lee, Dongyeol & Zhang, Huan, 2022. "Export diversification in low-income countries and small states: Do country size and income level matter?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 250-265.
    5. K J Joseph & Kiran Kumar Kakarlapudi & Akhil Joseph, 2020. "Deindustrialization and innovation under globalization: An analysis of India’s catch up in manufacturing [Desindustrialização e inovação na globalização: uma análise do catch up indiano na manufatura]," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 30(spe), pages 1199-1224, December.
    6. Choudhry, Sonam, 2021. "Is India's formal manufacturing sector ‘hollowing out’- importance of intermediate input," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 533-547.
    7. Bruno Ferreira Oliveira & Rodolfo Tomás Fonseca Nicolay, 2022. "Does innovative capacity affect the deindustrialization process? A panel data analysis," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-36, December.

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