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Inflation Targeting in Georgia: Are We There Yet?

Author

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  • Giorgi Bakradze
  • Mr. Andreas Billmeier

Abstract

This paper evaluates whether Georgia is ready to adopt inflation targeting (IT), a monetary policy framework that several emerging markets have adopted recently. After reviewing selected prerequisites for successfully implementing IT, the paper focuses on whether one specific precondition is in place-an empirically stable monetary transmission mechanism. Building on a baseline VAR model, it presents several extensions to explore the various channels using causality tests, impulse responses, and variance decompositions. The paper finds that once the central bank overcomes some institutional and operational weaknesses and establishes a more reliable transmission mechanism, it could adopt IT over the medium term.

Suggested Citation

  • Giorgi Bakradze & Mr. Andreas Billmeier, 2007. "Inflation Targeting in Georgia: Are We There Yet?," IMF Working Papers 2007/193, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2007/193
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    10. Edwin M. Truman, 2003. "Inflation Targeting in the World Economy," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 346, October.
    11. Paul R. Masson & Miguel A. Savastano & Sunil Sharma, 2019. "The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Macroeconomic Modelling and Monetary and Exchange Rate Regimes, chapter 10, pages 331-383, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. International Monetary Fund, 2002. "Thailand: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix," IMF Staff Country Reports 2002/195, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Ms. Era Dabla-Norris & Mr. Holger Floerkemeier, 2006. "Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia: Evidence from VAR Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2006/248, International Monetary Fund.
    14. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Modalities of Moving to Inflation Targeting in Armenia and Georgia," IMF Working Papers 2007/133, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Wojciech Maliszewski, 2003. "Modeling Inflation in Georgia," IMF Working Papers 2003/212, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Fabrizio Coricelli & Balázs Égert & Ronald MacDonald, 2006. "Monetary Transmission in Central and Eastern Europe: Gliding on a Wind of Change," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 44-87.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kavtaradze, Lasha, 2014. "Inflation Dynamics in Georgia," MPRA Paper 59966, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Al-Mashat Rania & Billmeier Andreas, 2008. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Egypt," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 4(3), pages 32-82, September.
    3. Dabrowski, Marek, 2013. "Monetary policy regimes in CIS economies and their ability to provide price and financial stability," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2013, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    4. Mishra, Prachi & Montiel, Peter, 2013. "How effective is monetary transmission in low-income countries? A survey of the empirical evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 187-216.
    5. Marjan Petreski, 2010. "An Overhaul of a Doctrine: Has Inflation Targeting Opened a New Era in Developing-country Peggers?," FIW Working Paper series 057, FIW.
    6. Montiel, Peter J & Spilimbergo, Antonio & Mishra, Prachi, 2011. "How Effective Is Monetary Transmission in Developing Countries? A Survey of the Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 8577, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Sergo Gadelia & Tamar Mdivnishvili & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2021. "Monetary policy transmission in Georgia: empirical evidence," NBG Working Papers 02/2021, National Bank of Georgia.
    8. Jamilov, Rustam, 2012. "Channels of Monetary Transmission in the CIS," MPRA Paper 39568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Roseline Nyakerario Misati & Esman Morekwa Nyamongo & Lucas Kamau Njoroge & Sheila Kaminchia, 2012. "Feasibility of inflation targeting in an emerging market: evidence from Kenya," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(2), pages 146-159, May.
    10. Tommaso Nannicini & Andreas Billmeier, 2011. "Economies in Transition: How Important Is Trade Openness for Growth?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(3), pages 287-314, June.
    11. Syed Imran Ali Meerza, 2020. "Do Preconditions of Inflation Targeting Framework Matter?," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(5), pages 1-51, May.
    12. Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano & Englama, Abwaku, 2009. "Is Nigeria Ready for Inflation Targeting?," MPRA Paper 14870, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Apr 2009.
    13. José Antonio Ocampo & Jonathan Malagón González & Juan Sebastian Betancur, 2015. "La banca central colombiana en una década de expansión, 2003-2013," Books, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Facultad de Economía, edition 1, number 72, August.
    14. repec:zbw:bofitp:2013_008 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Dabrowski, Marek, 2013. "Monetary policy regimes in CIS economies and their ability to provide price and financial stability," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2013, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.

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